Ituano vs Retrô Brasil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Ituano - Retrô Brasil
Result
2:0
05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Eduardo 🟨,
  • 38', Daniel 🟨,
  • 41', Thassio 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Leo Passos ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fernando Canesin , Vinicius Popo ,
  • 46', Thassio , Dija ,
  • 46', Eduardo , Rayne Assis ,
  • 46', Diego Guerra , Luquinhas ,
  • 55', Fabinho 🟨,
  • 61', Luquinhas , Junior Fialho ,
  • 71', Neto Berola , Ze Carlos ,
  • 72', Robson Reis , Mascote ,
  • 78', Mike , Rodrigo Varanda ,
  • 89', Leo Passos , Nathan Silva ,
  • 90+1', Ramon , Kaio Mendes ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Vinicius Popo ,

Chances of winning


Ituano
52.7%
Draw
28.1%
Retrô Brasil
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 24.3% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 23% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Ituano - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.65)
    3.23
    (3.75)
    4.74
    (4.42)
    10%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ituano - Retrô Brasil?
  • Users Predictions: Ituano will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Ituano is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ituano
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Ituano - São Bernardo 1:1
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ituano - Floresta 0:0
    18.05.2025 Figueirense - Ituano 2:0
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    14.06.2025 Anápolis - Retrô Brasil 0:0
    31.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Guarani 0:2
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina30303:303
    2Sao Bernardo30302:203
    3SER Caxias30301:103
    4Floresta EC30300:003


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta43104:1310
    2Guarani42025:416
    3Nautico41122:4-24
    4Brusque41033:5-23

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet