Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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17 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Total shots |
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17 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 13 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Matheus Rocha 🟨,
- 22', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 36', Fernando Canesin 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tiaguinho ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 48', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
- 59', Foguinho 🟨,
- 62', Vinicius Popo ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
- 62', Daniel ↓, Osman ↑,
- 73', Rodrigo Ferreira ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 73', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
- 76', Neto Berola ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
- 78', Fernando Canesin ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
- 80', Bastos R. ↓, Pedro Carrerette ↑,
- 80', Matheus Salustiano ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 85', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Guilherme Dal Pian ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ituano 37.4% | Draw 31.4% | São Bernardo 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ituano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ituano - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2.42) |
2.95 ↑ (2.93) |
2.97 ↑ (2.85) |
8.1% (10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - São Bernardo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ituano might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against São Bernardo?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Ituano?
São Bernardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - São Bernardo were as follows:
21.01.2024
São Bernardo
-
Ituano
2:0
22.02.2023
Ituano
-
São Bernardo
0:2
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Londrina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
2 | Sao Bernardo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
3 | SER Caxias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Floresta EC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Nautico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Brusque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet