Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Matheus Rocha 🟨,
- 22', Romisson ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 36', Fernando Canesin 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tiaguinho ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 48', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
- 59', Foguinho 🟨,
- 62', Vinicius Popo ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
- 62', Daniel ↓, Osman ↑,
- 73', Rodrigo Ferreira ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 73', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
- 76', Neto Berola ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
- 78', Fernando Canesin ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
- 80', Bastos R. ↓, Pedro Carrerette ↑,
- 80', Matheus Salustiano ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 85', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Guilherme Dal Pian ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ituano
37.4% | Draw
31.4% | São Bernardo
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ituano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ituano - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.42) |
2.95 ↑
(2.93) |
2.97 ↑
(2.85) |
8.1%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - São Bernardo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ituano might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against São Bernardo?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Ituano?
São Bernardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - São Bernardo were as follows:
21.01.2024
São Bernardo
-
Ituano
2:0
22.02.2023
Ituano
-
São Bernardo
0:2
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 | Londrina | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Nautico | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Brusque | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | CSA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Ituano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Guarani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | ABC | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Confianca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Anapolis | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Retro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Tombense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
