Ituzaingó vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
25/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
911
Corner kicks
87
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
911
Shots off target
27
Corner kicks
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Arango M. ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Damiolini N. ,
  • 28', Liporace I. 🟨,
  • 34', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Mena L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Blanco M. , Valenzuela A. ,
  • 51', Arango M. 🟨,
  • 53', Pereyra J. 🟨,
  • 53', Miranda A. 🟨,
  • 64', Mena L. , Luppino F. ,
  • 64', Sotelo A. , Sala H. ,
  • 64', Politano A. , Santiago N. ,
  • 67', Damiolini N. , Cardozo M. ,
  • 68', Fanti J. , Aguirre M. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Alaniz M. ,
  • 76', Alaniz M. , Calabria G. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ituzaingó
24.2%
Draw
31.6%
Excursionistas
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 31.1% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 29.8% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Ituzaingó - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.7)
    2.9
    (2.92)
    2.07
    (2.05)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.
    • Ituzaingó is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Excursionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ituzaingó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    Latest results of Ituzaingó
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1384120:51528
    2Villa Dalmine1384118:61228
    3Sportivo Italiano1374215:10525
    4Excursionistas1373315:8724
    5Real Pilar1373318:13524
    6Deportivo Camioneros1356210:7321
    7Talleres (R.E)125439:6319
    8Argentino de Merlo1353510:11-118
    9Dep. Merlo1245315:15017
    10Laferrere1344512:16-416
    11San Martin Burzaco1236315:12315
    12Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    13Liniers124359:12-315
    14Dock Sud1335513:13014
    15Deportivo Armenio1342710:17-714
    16Flandria1342710:18-814
    17UAI Urquiza132748:9-113
    18Brown Adrogue123458:16-813
    19Villa San Carlos1333717:19-212
    20Defensores Unidos1326511:13-212
    21Argentino de Quilmes1225512:13-111
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )