Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Fanti J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Fanti J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Benitez F. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
- 46', Vallejo L. ↓, Paez A. M. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Miranda A. ⚽,
- 54', 🟨,
- 56', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Maguicha D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Aguerre F. ⚽,
- 65', Celeste F. ↓, Mena L. ↑,
- 65', Miranda A. ↓, Brotzman S. ↑,
- 65', Fanti J. ↓, Mantovani E. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
- 80', Hernandez R. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 81', Liporace I. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
- 87', Bermejo M. ↓, Maciel E. ↑,
- 90+1', Sandoval I. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo 46.3% | Draw 30.3% | Ituzaingó 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Merlo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.82) |
3.01 ↑ (2.97) |
3.91 ↓ (4.63) |
9.5% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.
- Deportivo Merlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ituzaingó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Merlo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.7:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Ituzaingó?
Deportivo Merlo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituzaingó won against Deportivo Merlo?
Ituzaingó has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó were as follows:
01.07.2023
Ituzaingó
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:1
05.03.2023
Deportivo Merlo
-
Ituzaingó
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Excursionistas | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Pilar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Italiano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Talleres (R.E) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Dep. Merlo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Argentino de Merlo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | San Martin Burzaco | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Liniers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Deportivo Armenio | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | UAI Urquiza | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Laferrere | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Flandria | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 |
| 17 | Brown Adrogue | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 12 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 | Argentino de Quilmes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 21 | Dock Sud | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )