Deportivo Merlo vs Ituzaingó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
177
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
102
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Fanti J. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Fanti J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Benitez F. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 46', Vallejo L. , Paez A. M. ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Miranda A. ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 56', Da Rosa J. E. , Maguicha D. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Aguerre F. ,
  • 65', Celeste F. , Mena L. ,
  • 65', Miranda A. , Brotzman S. ,
  • 65', Fanti J. , Mantovani E. ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Aguirre D. E. ,
  • 80', Hernandez R. , Diaz A. ,
  • 81', Liporace I. , Bravo G. ,
  • 87', Bermejo M. , Maciel E. ,
  • 90+1', Sandoval I. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Aguirre D. E. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
46.3%
Draw
30.3%
Ituzaingó
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 30.5% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 24.4% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Merlo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.82)
    3.01
    (2.97)
    3.91
    (4.63)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.
    • Deportivo Merlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ituzaingó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Merlo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.7:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó were as follows:
    01.07.2023 Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo 0:1
    05.03.2023 Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal Sarandi1274119:51425
    2Villa Dalmine1274117:61125
    3Excursionistas1273215:7824
    4Real Pilar1272317:12523
    5Sportivo Italiano1264214:10422
    6Deportivo Camioneros1255210:7320
    7Talleres (R.E)125439:6319
    8Dep. Merlo1245315:15017
    9Argentino de Merlo125259:10-117
    10San Martin Burzaco1236315:12315
    11Comunicaciones124359:11-215
    12Liniers124359:12-315
    13Deportivo Armenio1242610:16-614
    14UAI Urquiza122738:8013
    15Laferrere1234510:16-613
    16Flandria1241710:18-813
    17Brown Adrogue123458:16-813
    18Villa San Carlos1233617:17012
    19Defensores Unidos1226411:11012
    20Argentino de Quilmes1225512:13-111
    21Dock Sud1225511:13-211
    22Ituzaingo120486:20-144

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )