Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Championship Group - Round 1
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/465) | 78% (261/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (375/465) | 78% (261/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (137/195) | 75% (57/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Polidar M. ⚽,
- 27', Boula J. 🟨,
- 40', Holly D. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 2, Nebyla S. ⚽, Jawo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 46', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
- 50', Hanus J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Ewerton ⚽, Prekop E. (A),
- 64', Holly D. ↓, Suchan J. ↑,
- 64', Alegue A. ↓, Kanakimana B. ↑,
- 73', Novak F. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 73', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 82', Kornezos G. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 83', Tekijaski N. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
- 90+1', Prekop E. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
- 90+5', Stepanek D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
54.1% | Draw
24.7% | Jablonec
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Baník Ostrava - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.61) |
3.82 ↓
(4.1) |
4.44 ↓
(5.07) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Jablonec?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 3.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Jablonec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Baník Ostrava is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:28 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Jablonec?
Baník Ostrava has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Baník Ostrava?
Jablonec has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Jablonec were as follows:
09.04.2025
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
23.11.2024
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
3:1
28.07.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
1:0
07.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
2:3
28.10.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
0:1
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Zlin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Karvina | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Teplice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
