Result
0:1
08/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 15
- Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (470/533) | 75% (207/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (470/533) | 75% (207/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (117/157) | 51% (35/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Jawo L. ⚽, Novak F. (A),
- 41', Jawo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sehic E. ↓, Frydrych M. ↑,
- 55', Puskac D. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 61', Tekijaski N. 🟨,
- 71', Zorvan F. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
- 71', Soucek D. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
- 74', Musak A. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 86', Pojezny K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Sedlacek R. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
- 90+6', Jawo L. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
32.8% | Draw
28.8% | Jablonec
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Baník Ostrava - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.49) |
3.27 ↑
(3.26) |
2.47 ↓
(2.69) |
6.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Jablonec?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Jablonec will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
- Baník Ostrava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jablonec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jablonec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Plavsic S.
(Groin Injury)
Rusnak M.
(Health problems)
Tiehi C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Jablonec: Chanturishvili V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Havran M.
(Injury)
Holec D.
(Injury)
Holzer D.
(Knee Injury)
Kohut M.
(Health problems)
Lischka D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Nebyla S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Jablonec?
Baník Ostrava has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Baník Ostrava?
Jablonec has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Jablonec were as follows:
27.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
1:2
09.04.2025
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
23.11.2024
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
3:1
28.07.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
1:0
07.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
2:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:25 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31:23 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | Karvina | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Zlin | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Teplice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Bohemians | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
