Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 29
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (197/289) | 78% (289/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (197/289) | 78% (289/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/68) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (46/90) | 57% (59/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 3.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Holly D. ⚽, Jawo L. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Kricfalusi O. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
- 40', Holly D. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
- 41', 2 - 1, Okeke N. ⚽, Chanturishvili V. (A),
- 45', Chalus M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Jurecka V. 🟨,
- 56', Okeke N. 🟨,
- 58', Planka D. 🟨,
- 59', Pira J. ↓, Gning A. ↑,
- 72', Bewene A. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 72', Kohut M. ↓, Boula J. ↑,
- 79', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
- 79', Zorvan F. ↓, Sedlacek R. ↑,
- 79', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 82', Chalus M. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 82', Sinyavskiy V. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Singhateh E. ⚽, Puskac D. (A),
- 88', Singhateh E. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Nebyla S. ⚽, Chramosta J. (A),
Chances of winning
Jablonec
45.3% | Draw
27.3% | Baník Ostrava
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Jablonec - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.99) |
3.4 ↓
(3.43) |
3.38 ↓
(3.45) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Baník Ostrava?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jablonec will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Jablonec might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jablonec: Alegue A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Chanturishvili V.
(Knee Injury)
Novak F.
(Illness)
Polidar M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Almasi L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Baník Ostrava?
Jablonec has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Jablonec?
Baník Ostrava has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
08.11.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
0:1
27.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
1:2
09.04.2025
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
23.11.2024
Jablonec
-
Baník Ostrava
3:1
28.07.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Jablonec
1:0
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
