Legia Warsaw vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
0:1
13/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.48
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (412/490)80% (256/322)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.40
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
176
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3019
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
84% (412/490)80% (256/322)
Long passes
51% (22/43)54% (20/37)
Passes in final third
74% (97/131)57% (37/65)
Crosses
67% (8/12)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.47
Fouls
1515
Tackles
58% (7/12)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4742
Clearances Total
1722
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.400.88
Goals prevented
-0.600.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Flach L. , Costa Silva T. ,
  • 20', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 21', Costa Silva T. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Churlinov D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
  • 64', Elitim J. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 64', Pankov R. , Kun P. ,
  • 68', Costa Silva T. , Kubicki J. ,
  • 76', Luquinhas , Urbanski W. ,
  • 76', Chodyna K. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 81', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 81', Wojtuszek N. , Stojinovic D. ,
  • 81', Imaz J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 90+1', Stojinovic D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Stojinovic D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
51.5%
Draw
24.5%
Jagiellonia Białystok
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 23.4% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.83
    (3.9)
    3.91
    (4.12)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Legia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Gual M. (Muscle Injury) Jedrzejczyk A. (Yellow Cards) Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Kobylak G. (Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Knee Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Legia won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32:17 (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:7 (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1
    06.10.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw 1:1
    06.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0
    07.04.2024 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    01.10.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw 2:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1