Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
74% (206/278) | 84% (362/433) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
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11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 18 |
Passes |
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74% (206/278) | 84% (362/433) |
Long passes |
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26% (15/57) | 51% (21/41) |
Passes in final third |
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52% (39/75) | 62% (63/101) |
Crosses |
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39% (7/18) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.59 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 17 |
Fouls |
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21 | 12 |
Tackles |
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43% (3/7) | 100% (3/3) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 1 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.18 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Donis C. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
- 34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Prip L. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 46', Mazurek B. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
- 62', Donis C. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 70', Imaz J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 70', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 76', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
- 76', Zie Ouattara ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 76', Kaput M. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 80', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 81', Stojinovic D. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 83', Lopes V. 🟨,
- 86', Alves R. 🟨,
- 88', Blasco J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Leandro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom 41.5% | Draw 27.7% | Jagiellonia Białystok 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.59) |
3.52 ↑ (3.5) |
3.25 ↑ (2.61) |
2.4% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
- Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Radomiak Radom has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Radomiak Radom?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
02.02.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
5:0
27.07.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:3
16.03.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
17.09.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
3:2
01.07.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Gornik Zabrze | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Cracovia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Korona Kielce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
14 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1