Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Yellow Cards
61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.82
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Long passes
26% (15/57)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
52% (39/75)62% (63/101)
Crosses
39% (7/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2112
Tackles
43% (3/7)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.820.82
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Donis C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. , Joao Pedro (A),
  • 34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. , Mazurek B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Prip L. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 46', Mazurek B. , Drachal D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. , Drachal D. (A),
  • 62', Donis C. , Lopes V. ,
  • 70', Imaz J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 70', Wojtuszek N. , Villar Miki ,
  • 76', Maurides , Depu ,
  • 76', Zie Ouattara , Balde E. ,
  • 76', Kaput M. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 80', Wolski R. , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 81', Stojinovic D. , Vital B. ,
  • 83', Lopes V. 🟨,
  • 86', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 88', Blasco J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Leandro 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
41.5%
Draw
27.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.1% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.7% 34.3%

Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.32
(2.59)
3.52
(3.5)
3.25
(2.61)
2.4%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
    • Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 5:0
    27.07.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:3
    16.03.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 3:2
    01.07.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Jagiellonia1785429:21829
    4Rakow1892726:23329
    5Zaglebie1877431:24728
    6Cracovia1876525:21427
    7Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    8Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Motor Lublin1849523:28-521
    12Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    13Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    14Piast Gliwice1755719:19020
    15Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    16GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    17Legia1847719:21-219
    18Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1