Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (206/278) | 84% (362/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (206/278) | 84% (362/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (39/75) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 100% (3/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Donis C. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
- 34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Prip L. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 46', Mazurek B. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
- 62', Donis C. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 70', Imaz J. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 70', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 76', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
- 76', Zie Ouattara ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 76', Kaput M. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 80', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 81', Stojinovic D. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 83', Lopes V. 🟨,
- 86', Alves R. 🟨,
- 88', Blasco J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Leandro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
41.5% | Draw
27.7% | Jagiellonia Białystok
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.59) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
3.25 ↑
(2.61) |
2.4%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
- Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Radomiak Radom has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Radomiak Radom?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
02.02.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
5:0
27.07.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:3
16.03.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:2
17.09.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
3:2
01.07.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Radomiak Radom
2:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:15 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Rakow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
