Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Yellow Cards
61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.82
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Long passes
26% (15/57)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
52% (39/75)62% (63/101)
Crosses
39% (7/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2112
Tackles
43% (3/7)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.820.82
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Donis C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. , Joao Pedro (A),
  • 34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. , Mazurek B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Prip L. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 46', Mazurek B. , Drachal D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. , Drachal D. (A),
  • 62', Donis C. , Lopes V. ,
  • 70', Imaz J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 70', Wojtuszek N. , Villar Miki ,
  • 76', Maurides , Depu ,
  • 76', Zie Ouattara , Balde E. ,
  • 76', Kaput M. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 80', Wolski R. , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 81', Stojinovic D. , Vital B. ,
  • 83', Lopes V. 🟨,
  • 86', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 88', Blasco J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Leandro 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
41.5%
Draw
27.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.1% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.7% 34.3%

Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.32
(2.59)
3.52
(3.5)
3.25
(2.61)
2.4%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
    • Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 5:0
    27.07.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:3
    16.03.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 3:2
    01.07.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

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          Relegation ~ Division 1