Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Yellow Cards
61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.82
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
74% (206/278)84% (362/433)
Long passes
26% (15/57)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
52% (39/75)62% (63/101)
Crosses
39% (7/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
2112
Tackles
43% (3/7)100% (3/3)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
2022
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.820.82
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', Donis C. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Grzesik J. , Joao Pedro (A),
  • 34', Wojtuszek N. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Imaz J. , Mazurek B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Prip L. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 46', Mazurek B. , Drachal D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Imaz J. , Drachal D. (A),
  • 62', Donis C. , Lopes V. ,
  • 70', Imaz J. , Romanczuk T. ,
  • 70', Wojtuszek N. , Villar Miki ,
  • 76', Maurides , Depu ,
  • 76', Zie Ouattara , Balde E. ,
  • 76', Kaput M. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 80', Wolski R. , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 81', Stojinovic D. , Vital B. ,
  • 83', Lopes V. 🟨,
  • 86', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 88', Blasco J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dieguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Leandro 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
41.5%
Draw
27.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.1% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.7% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jagiellonia Białystok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.59)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.25
    (2.61)
    2.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 0.
    • Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jagiellonia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 5:0
    27.07.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:3
    16.03.2024 Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:2
    17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 3:2
    01.07.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Gornik Zabrze640210:4612
    3Cracovia632111:8311
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Korona Kielce62227:618
    8Legia42115:237
    9Widzew Lodz62138:717
    10Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    11Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    12Rakow42026:7-16
    13Zaglebie41219:635
    14Motor Lublin51225:9-45
    15Arka Gdynia61234:8-45
    16GKS Katowice61147:13-64
    17Piast Gliwice40220:3-32
    18Lechia Gdansk612312:17-50

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