Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 80% (323/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 80% (323/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (97/142) | 66% (59/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', Mendy B. 🟨,
- 30', Alves R. 🟨,
- 30', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Greenwood S. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Balde E. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
- 59', Kaput M. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 59', Lopes V. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
- 67', Pozo J. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 67', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 67', Balde E. ↓, Wilson-Esbrand J. ↑,
- 69', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 75', Greenwood S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽, Wilson-Esbrand J. (A),
- 82', Grzesik J. 🟨,
- 83', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 86', Mukairu P. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 86', Koutris L. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 90', Wolski R. ↓, Leandro ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
45.4% | Draw
26.1% | Radomiak Radom
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.93) |
3.61 ↑
(3.14) |
3.31 ↓
(3.52) |
6.1%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
- Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radomiak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Molendowski M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Radomiak Radom?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Radomiak Radom has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
20.07.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
5:1
10.05.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
08.11.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Radomiak Radom
0:1
16.02.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:4
13.08.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Radomiak Radom
0:2
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
