Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Malcevs E. (Lat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 11 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/375) | 82% (290/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/375) | 82% (290/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 67% (67/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Camello S. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
- 31', Drachal D. 🟨,
- 43', Chavarria P. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Drachal D. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
- 55', Camello S. 🟨,
- 60', Garcia A. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
- 60', Balliu I. ↓, Pacha ↑,
- 60', Camello S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Pacha ⚽, Chavarria P. (A),
- 65', Palazon I. 🟨,
- 68', Pozo A. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
- 68', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
- 80', Ciss P. 🟨,
- 80', Ciss P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
- 85', Pululu A. 🟨,
- 88', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
- 89', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
25.9% | Draw
26.9% | Rayo Vallecano
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.3) |
3.54 ↑
(3.45) |
2.01 ↓
(2.06) |
5.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 28.1% – 71.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Jagiellonia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
- Rayo Vallecano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Pietuszewski O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D.
(Injury)
Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao
(Injury)
Diaz P.
(Knee Injury)
Pacha
(Personal Reasons)
Trejo O.
(Muscle Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Rayo Vallecano?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Rayo Vallecano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
