Jagiellonia Białystok vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Malcevs E. (Lat)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
77% (290/375)82% (290/355)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.84
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2218
Passes
77% (290/375)82% (290/355)
Long passes
46% (22/48)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
58% (56/96)67% (67/100)
Crosses
36% (4/11)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.86
Throw-ins
239
Fouls
1822
Tackles
50% (3/6)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.840.87
Goals prevented
-1.16-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Camello S. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 31', Drachal D. 🟨,
  • 43', Chavarria P. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Drachal D. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
  • 55', Camello S. 🟨,
  • 60', Garcia A. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 60', Balliu I. ↓, Pacha ↑,
  • 60', Camello S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Pacha ⚽, Chavarria P. (A),
  • 65', Palazon I. 🟨,
  • 68', Pozo A. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
  • 68', Flach L. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
  • 80', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 80', Ciss P. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
  • 85', Pululu A. 🟨,
  • 88', Lopez U. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
  • 89', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
25.9%		Draw
26.9%		Rayo Vallecano
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 26.9% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.1% 45.4%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.64 ↑
(3.3)		 3.54 ↑
(3.45)		 2.01 ↓
(2.06)		 5.5%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 28.1% – 71.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • Rayo Vallecano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Pietuszewski O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Alemao (Injury) Diaz P. (Knee Injury) Pacha (Personal Reasons) Trejo O. (Muscle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    07.12.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 GKS Katowice - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - KuPS Kuopio 1:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice Postponed ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    07.12.2025 Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    04.12.2025 Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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