Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
104
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
63%63%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (24/31)63% (20/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
78% (14/18)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)25% (1/4)
Average 1st Serve Speed
211 km/h195 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
169 km/h185 km/h
1st Return Points Won
38% (12/32)23% (7/31)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (12/19)22% (4/18)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)0% (0/3)
Winners
1914
Unforced Errors
1021
Net Points Won
100% (3/3)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
78% (38/49)55% (27/49)
Return Points Won
45% (22/49)22% (11/49)
Total Points Won
61% (60/98)39% (38/98)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
70.9%
Alexander Bublik
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.7% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.32)

    3.26
    (3.34)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Bublik will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 29.2%76.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Bublik (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Mensik (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -3.5 Games - Mensik (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2.5 Games - Mensik (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 Games - Mensik (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Sets - Mensik (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 Games - Mensik (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Mensik (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 2nd Set - Mensik (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Mensik (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 17 - 68%). Bublik (votes: 8 - 32%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 23. Bublik is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
    • Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Mensik is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik 0:2
    01.07.2024 Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik 2:3
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.TBD #4
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2