Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (40/58) | 58% (25/43) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 34% (20/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 42% (16/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 10% (1/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (62/96) | 59% (42/71) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 35% (34/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (91/167) | 46% (76/167) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 8% (1/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 36% (9/25) |
Chances of winning
Jan Choinski
42.2% | Luka Mikrut
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luka Mikrut's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.9) |
|
1.62 ↓
(1.86) |
6.8%
(6.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut?
Users Predictions:
Luka Mikrut will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Choinski is ranked ATP: 158. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 239.
- Choinski is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mikrut is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Luka Mikrut?
Jan Choinski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Mikrut won against Jan Choinski?
Luka Mikrut has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut were as follows:
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Latest results of Luka Mikrut
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Martinez P. (1) | Ramos A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. (Alt) | Sanchez Jover C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Choinski J. | Damas M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Gakhov I. (Q) | Gaubas V. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Buse I. (4) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Nagal S. (Q) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Squire H. (Q) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pereira T. (LL) | Lajovic D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. | Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Zapata Miralles B. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Dedura D. (RET.) (NG) | Taberner C. (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Lopez Montagud C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mikrut L. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Jianu F. C. | Cretu C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Negritu Ch. (LL) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Kolar Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Choinski J. | Gakhov I. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Nagal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Squire H. | Lajovic D. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Martin Tiffon P. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Pavlovic L. | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lopez Montagud C. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Negritu Ch. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Choinski J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mikrut L. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Taberner C. (3) | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |
