Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
52%41%
1st serve points won
62% (16/26)75% (21/28)
2nd serve points won
38% (9/24)57% (23/40)
Break Points Saved
0/43/4
1st return points won
29% (8/28)38% (10/26)
2nd return points won
43% (17/40)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
1/44/4
Winners
1319
Unforced errors
3123
Net points won
75% (6/8)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
50% (25/50)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)50% (25/50)
Total Points Won
43% (50/117)57% (67/117)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
58.6%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikoloz Basilashvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.78)

    2.27
    (1.97)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Struff is ranked ATP: 75. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 129.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3.
    • Struff is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Basilashvili is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Struff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Quinn E. (1)Virtanen O.2 : 1
    2Arneodo R. (WC)Comesana F. (10)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Goffin D. (WC)1 : 2
    4Nava E.Halys Q. (11)2 : 0
    5Cerundolo J. M. (3)Nys H. (WC)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Vukic A. (9)2 : 0
    7Kopriva V. (4)Arnaldi M.1 : 2
    8Choinski J.Muller A. (13)0 : 2
    9Dzumhur D. (5)Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 0
    10Maestrelli F.Blockx A. (12)0 : 2
    11Struff J-L. (6)Basilashvili N. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Garin C.De Jong J. (14)2 : 1
    13Shevchenko A. (7)Pellegrino A. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    14Bonzi B.Bautista-Agut R. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Quinn E. (1)Comesana F. (10)
    2Goffin D.Nava E.
    3Cerundolo J. M. (3)Martinez P.
    4Arnaldi M.Muller A. (13)
    5Dzumhur D. (5)Blockx A. (12)
    6Basilashvili N.Garin C.
    7Shevchenko A. (7)Bautista-Agut R. (8)