Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
52%41%
1st serve points won
62% (16/26)75% (21/28)
2nd serve points won
38% (9/24)57% (23/40)
Break Points Saved
0/43/4
1st return points won
29% (8/28)38% (10/26)
2nd return points won
43% (17/40)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
1/44/4
Winners
1319
Unforced errors
3123
Net points won
75% (6/8)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
50% (25/50)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)50% (25/50)
Total Points Won
43% (50/117)57% (67/117)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Jan-Lennard Struff
58.6%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan-Lennard Struff's performance.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikoloz Basilashvili might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan-Lennard Struff that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.78)

    2.27
    (1.97)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 26.7%80.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Struff is ranked ATP: 75. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 129.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3.
    • Struff is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Basilashvili is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Struff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Basilashvili will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Struff won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    Latest results of Jan-Lennard Struff
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2