Jay Clarke vs Henrique Rocha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Braga Challenger Men Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha
Result
0:2
30/09/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
57
1st Serve Percentage
52%61%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (23/34)74% (31/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (12/31)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
29% (12/42)32% (11/34)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (14/27)61% (19/31)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
54% (35/65)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)46% (30/65)
Total Points Won
45% (60/132)55% (72/132)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
38.5%
Henrique Rocha
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.5)

    1.53
    (1.51)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 185. Rocha is ranked ATP: 171.
    • Recent performances by Clarke have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rocha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (LL)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    3Houkes M. (RET.) (LL)Kolar Z.0 : 0
    4Travaglia S.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    5Marmousez L. (Q)Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    6Gadamauri B. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pereira T. (WC)Trungelliti M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Ingildsen J. (Q)0 : 2
    10Rocha F. (WC)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Clarke J.Rocha H.0 : 2
    12Ymer E. (RET.)Moller E. (4)0 : 0
    13Lajovic D. (6)Rincon D.2 : 0
    14Mikrut L.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    15Ferreira Silva F.Nagal S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torres T. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Barranco Cosano J.0 : 2
    2Kolar Z.Faria J. (5)2 : 0
    3Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Squire H.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2
    5Ingildsen J.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    6Rocha H.Moller E. (4)1 : 2
    7Lajovic D. (6)Mikrut L.0 : 2
    8Nagal S.Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Barranco Cosano J.Kolar Z.
    2Gaubas V.Trungelliti M. (8)
    3Moro Canas A.Moller E. (4)
    4Mikrut L.Nagal S.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2