Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Stuttgart Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko
Result
0:2
21/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
italyItalySuper Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
52%60%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)81% (25/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (11/31)29% (6/21)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/31)47% (16/34)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (15/21)65% (20/31)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
45% (29/65)60% (31/52)
Return Points Won
40% (21/52)55% (36/65)
Total Points Won
43% (50/117)57% (67/117)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
75.2%
Jelena Ostapenko
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.33)

    3.82
    (3.31)
    5.1%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 13 - 52%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelena Ostapenko will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
    • Sabalenka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ostapenko is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
    15.05.2024 Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2
    22.02.2023 Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka 1:2
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Potapova A.Tauson C.2 : 1
    3Sasnovich A. (Q)Mertens E.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (Q)Shnaider D. (8)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Bye
    6Maria T. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)1 : 2
    7Niemeier J. (WC)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 1
    8Lys E. (WC)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    10Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    11Frech M.Errani S. (LL)2 : 1
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Navarro E. (7)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    14Ostapenko J.Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Vekic D.Fett J. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Potapova A.
    2Mertens E.Shnaider D. (8)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (4)Seidel E.2 : 0
    4Niemeier J.Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    6Frech M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (7)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    8Fett J.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    4Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    2Alexandrova E.Ostapenko J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ostapenko J.0 : 2