Result
0:2
21/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Super Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 81% (25/31) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 29% (6/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 33% (1/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 47% (16/34) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 65% (20/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 55% (6/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 60% (31/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 55% (36/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (50/117) | 57% (67/117) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 75% (6/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
75.2% | Jelena Ostapenko
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.33) |
|
3.82 ↑
(3.31) |
5.1%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 13 - 52%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 32.4% – 71.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelena Ostapenko will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
- Sabalenka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Ostapenko is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Jelena Ostapenko?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelena Ostapenko won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Jelena Ostapenko has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko were as follows:
15.05.2024
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
22.02.2023
Jelena Ostapenko
-
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Potapova A. | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Mertens E. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kudermetova V. (Q) | Shnaider D. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Maria T. (WC) | Seidel E. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Niemeier J. (WC) | Siegemund L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Lys E. (WC) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (6) | Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Alexandrova E. | Samsonova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Frech M. | Errani S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Navarro E. (7) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Ostapenko J. | Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Vekic D. | Fett J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1) | Potapova A. | |
| 2 | Mertens E. | Shnaider D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (4) | Seidel E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Niemeier J. | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (6) | Alexandrova E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Frech M. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Navarro E. (7) | Ostapenko J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fett J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mertens E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Paolini J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alexandrova E. | Pegula J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ostapenko J. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Paolini J. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alexandrova E. | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Ostapenko J. | 0 : 2 |
