Result
3:2
29/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 3.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (160/247) | 78% (398/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 3.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 2.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (160/247) | 78% (398/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (17/68) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (39/83) | 68% (102/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 2', Emenike K. 🟨,
- 17', Dzerins R. 🟨,
- 28', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Dobrecovs D. (Pen),
- 31', 2 - 0, Grjaznovs A. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, Emenike K. ⚽, Yuzvak A. (A),
- 38', Ullman O. 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 1, Puzirevskis A. ⚽, Krautmanis J. (A),
- 43', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,
- 45', 3 - 2, Holoubek D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Grjaznovs A. ↓, Baravykas R. ↑,
- 58', Orols F. 🟥,
- 60', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Pincuks N. ↑,
- 66', Emenike K. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 66', Purs V. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 66', Becers R. ↓, Zaleiko G. ↑,
- 72', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
- 73', Baravykas R. 🟨,
- 74', Kluskins G. 🟨,
- 77', Hasek F. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
- 81', Holoubek D. 🟨,
- 85', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 86', Doudou P. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
- 87', Knapsis E. 🟨,
- 90+10', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
36.6% | Draw
28.8% | Jelgava
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Grobiņa - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.47) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
2.65 ↑
(2.65) |
9%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 1.
- Grobiņa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jelgava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Jelgava?
Grobiņa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Grobiņa?
Jelgava has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Jelgava were as follows:
22.06.2025
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
0:1
29.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
1:0
06.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
1:1
09.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Grobiņa
2:0
23.08.2024
Grobiņa
-
Jelgava
2:3
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
| 9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
| 10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
