Result
0:1
26/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 23% | 77% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (121/194) | 89% (580/650) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (121/194) | 89% (580/650) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (14/53) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 84% (234/278) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 38% (13/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Odisharia L. (A),
- 70', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
- 71', Odisharia L. 🟨,
- 71', Muhammad Y. 🟨,
- 79', Petersons A. ↓, Susts M. ↑,
- 84', Odisharia L. ↓, Ikaunieks D. ↑,
- 88', Emenike K. ↓, Ivanovs M. ↑,
- 88', Becers R. ↓, Kasica D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
10.6% | Draw
18.2% | RFS
71.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Jelgava - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.67 ↑
(7.37) |
5.06 ↑
(4.85) |
1.3 ↓
(1.32) |
8.4%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jelgava - RFS?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). RFS will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RFS will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
- Recent form of Jelgava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, RFS is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against RFS?
Jelgava has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Jelgava?
RFS has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - RFS were as follows:
05.05.2025
Jelgava
-
RFS
2:2
11.03.2025
RFS
-
Jelgava
1:0
30.09.2024
Jelgava
-
RFS
0:2
05.07.2024
RFS
-
Jelgava
7:0
15.05.2024
Jelgava
-
RFS
1:2
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
