Jerez vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
16/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Roldan J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jerez
37.1%
Draw
29.4%
Llerenense
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.7% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Jerez - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.4)
    3.1
    (3.15)
    2.73
    (2.8)
    9.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Jerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jerez - Llerenense were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Jerez - Llerenense 2:1
    04.03.2023 Llerenense - Jerez 1:1
    30.10.2022 Jerez - Llerenense 1:3
    Latest results of Jerez
    09.11.2025 Azuaga - Jerez 3:3
    02.11.2025 Jerez - Badajoz 0:0
    26.10.2025 Gévora - Jerez 2:2
    19.10.2025 Jerez - Pueblonuevo 5:1
    12.10.2025 Calamonte - Jerez 0:0
    Latest results of Llerenense
    09.11.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:1
    01.11.2025 Llerenense - Pueblonuevo 2:0
    26.10.2025 Montijo - Llerenense 2:0
    19.10.2025 Llerenense - Moralo 0:0
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

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