Result
4:1
16/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Roldan J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jerez 37.1% | Draw 29.4% | Llerenense 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Jerez - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↑ (2.4) |
3.1 ↓ (3.15) |
2.73 ↓ (2.8) |
9.6% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Llerenense?
Jerez has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Jerez?
Llerenense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jerez - Llerenense were as follows:
19.01.2025
Jerez
-
Llerenense
2:1
04.03.2023
Llerenense
-
Jerez
1:1
30.10.2022
Jerez
-
Llerenense
1:3
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50:15 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Moralo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Cabeza del Buey | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Llerenense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Villafranca | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Montijo | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Puebla | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Gevora | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22:37 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17:44 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:46 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation