Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo
25.4% | Draw
28.4% | Jerez
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pueblonuevo - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↓
(4.09) |
3.21 ↓
(3.27) |
1.97 ↑
(1.82) |
9.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0.
- Pueblonuevo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jerez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jerez is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:25. (average 0.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Jerez?
Pueblonuevo has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Pueblonuevo?
Jerez has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Jerez were as follows:
19.10.2025
Jerez
-
Pueblonuevo
5:1
23.02.2025
Pueblonuevo
-
Jerez
0:1
13.10.2024
Jerez
-
Pueblonuevo
3:0
07.04.2024
Pueblonuevo
-
Jerez
0:0
19.11.2023
Jerez
-
Pueblonuevo
3:0
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
