Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Jiangxi Lushan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
31/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.01
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
75% (281/375)69% (165/239)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.251.93
Total shots
116
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
75% (281/375)69% (165/239)
Long passes
45% (27/60)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)59% (57/96)
Crosses
29% (5/17)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.80
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
1914
Tackles
81% (17/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5853
Clearances
2238
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.930.25
Goals prevented
-1.070.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Qurban W. , Sun Yue (A),
  • 39', Zheng Yiming 🟨,
  • 43', Abdukerim Qaharman 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ablimit Feruk , Lu Jiajun ,
  • 46', Su Shun , Gong Zheng ,
  • 52', Zhang Yanjun 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Abdukerim Qaharman , Qurban W. (A),
  • 61', Qurban W. , Li Chenguang ,
  • 73', Li Zhongting , Li Jinqing ,
  • 74', Li Jiahao , Wang Hongbin ,
  • 83', Liu Tianyang , Jiang Feng ,
  • 83', Zhang Wei , Wu Peng ,
  • 85', Abdusalam S. , Xu Lei ,
  • 85', Sun Yue , Xu Zhaoji ,
  • 86', Sun Yue 🟨,
  • 87', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
  • 88', Zheng Jinyang 🟥,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Abdukerim Qaharman , Li Chenguang (A),

Chances of winning


Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
25.1%
Draw
28%
Jiangxi Lushan
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.7% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 30.2% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.
  • Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (2.55)
    3.23
    (2.97)
    1.94
    (2.7)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Jiangxi Lushan (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Shanxi (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jiangxi Lushan will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanxi (votes: 1 - 25%). Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Shanxi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jiangxi Lushan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jiangxi Lushan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Jiangxi Lushan - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1:1
    Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B431010:2810
    2Taian Tiankuang43017:439
    3Dalian Kewei42202:028
    4Shandong Taishan B32016:426
    5Dalian Yingbo B41305:416
    6Lanzhou Longyuan31202:115
    7Changchun Xidu41212:5-35
    8Nantong Haimen41125:324
    9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai41123:304
    10Qingdao Red Lions40314:5-13
    11Shanghai Second40135:13-81
    12Beijing Technology40042:9-70


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion43016:339
    2Hubei Istar42116:517
    3Xiamen Feilu413010:826
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B32014:316
    5Guizhou Guiyang42023:5-26
    6Jiangxi Lushan41216:515
    7Hangzhou Linping30303:303
    8Wuhan Three Towns B30303:303
    9Shenzhen40315:7-23
    10Ganzhou Ruishi40313:4-13
    11Wenzhou Professional30212:3-12
    12Guangdong Mingtu40224:6-22

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