Result
0:2
10/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (35/46) | 92% (48/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (27/41) | 55% (16/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/2 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 12% (6/52) | 26% (12/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 34% (14/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/0 | 0/2 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (62/87) | 79% (62/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (16/78) | 29% (25/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (78/165) | 53% (87/165) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 100% (12/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 0% (0/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Joel Schwaerzler
54.7% | Stefano Napolitano
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.07 ↓
(2.25) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 214. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 422.
- Schwaerzler has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Napolitano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schwaerzler is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Schwaerzler will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schwaerzler won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Stefano Napolitano?
Joel Schwaerzler has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Stefano Napolitano has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
08.03.2026
Joel Schwaerzler
-
Stefano Napolitano
2:0
20.01.2026
Joel Schwaerzler
-
Stefano Napolitano
Napolitano S. retired
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | 2 : 1 |
