John Sperle vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
61%69%
1st serve points won
69% (49/71)65% (50/77)
2nd serve points won
40% (18/45)49% (17/35)
Break Points Saved
8/136/10
1st return points won
35% (27/77)31% (22/71)
2nd return points won
51% (18/35)60% (27/45)
Break Points Converted
4/105/13
Winners
3633
Unforced errors
5744
Net points won
75% (9/12)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
58% (67/116)60% (67/112)
Return Points Won
40% (45/112)42% (49/116)
Total Points Won
49% (112/228)51% (116/228)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (11/16)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)31% (5/16)
Total games won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


John Sperle
36.8%
Jakub Paul
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • John Sperle - Jakub Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.75)

    1.47
    (1.4)
    7.4%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sperle is ranked ATP: 822. Paul is ranked ATP: 522.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sperle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of John Sperle
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2