Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (49/71) | 65% (50/77) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 49% (17/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 8/13 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (27/77) | 31% (22/71) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 60% (27/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 5/13 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (67/116) | 60% (67/112) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (45/112) | 42% (49/116) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (112/228) | 51% (116/228) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 31% (5/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 53% (17/32) |
Chances of winning
John Sperle 36.8% | Jakub Paul 63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
John Sperle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with John Sperle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
John Sperle - Jakub Paul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (2.75) |
|
1.47 ↑ (1.4) |
7.4% (7.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Sperle is ranked ATP: 822. Paul is ranked ATP: 522.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Sperle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has John Sperle won against Jakub Paul?
John Sperle has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jakub Paul won against John Sperle?
Jakub Paul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between John Sperle - Jakub Paul were as follows:
Latest results of John Sperle
Latest results of Jakub Paul
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Guerrieri A. (LL) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kukushkin M. | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Giustino L. | Jacquet K. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Wawrinka S. (4) | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Purtseladze S. | Ribecai M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bondioli F. (Q) | Blanchet U. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Barton H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Sakellaridis S. | Jorda Sanchis D. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Caniato C. A. (WC) | Vasami J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Paul J. (Q) | Muller A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Jianu F. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blancaneaux G. | Sachko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cina F. | Piraino G. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Forti F. (Q) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Guerrieri A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dalla Valle E. | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martineau M. | Ribecai M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Nagal S. | Bondioli F. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Caniato C. A. | Muller A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Pellegrino A. (6) | Sachko V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Cina F. | Forti F. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Dalla Valle E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ribecai M. | Bondioli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Muller A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sachko V. | Cina F. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. (5) | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Medjedovic H. (5) | 0 : 2 |