Johor Darul Takzim vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
30/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
77% (299/387)73% (241/329)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.71
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
77% (299/387)73% (241/329)
Long passes
33% (26/78)34% (27/79)
Passes in final third
59% (55/94)62% (88/143)
Crosses
29% (6/21)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.38
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1113
Tackles
67% (8/12)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
3427
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
0.710.20
Goals prevented
0.710.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Soma Y. (Pen),
  • 30', Fazail A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 46', Masuyama A. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 65', Bergson , Jairo ,
  • 70', Na Sang-Ho , Nishimura T. ,
  • 70', Sento K. , Shimoda H. ,
  • 73', Mendez N. , Insa N. ,
  • 73', Silva J. , Teto A. ,
  • 84', Mochizuki H. , Oh Se-Hun ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2kxrzjwa

Chances of winning


Johor Darul Takzim
34.5%
Draw
28.4%
Machida Zelvia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.4% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 26.2% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Johor Darul Takzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.84)
    3.32
    (3.5)
    2.55
    (2.25)
    6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Johor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Johor: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Johor (1.78) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Johor (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Johor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Johor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Johor Darul Takzim
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

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