Brasil de Pelotas vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville
Result
1:0
08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
49
Total shots
47
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Alexiel ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Brasil de Pelotas
25.9%
Draw
32.2%
Joinville
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 31.4% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 30.9% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.
  • Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (4.36)
    2.81
    (2.89)
    2.16
    (1.9)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Brasil de Pelotas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Joinville is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Joinville - Brasil de Pelotas 1:0
    Latest results of Joinville
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0