Result
2:0
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 29
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/418) | 87% (408/471) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/418) | 87% (408/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 56% (24/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/106) | 77% (79/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dekker M. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
- 46', Oerip J. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
- 46', Twisk N. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
- 60', Bonnah S. 🟨,
- 63', Zwart J. 🟨,
- 64', Tahaui A. ↓, Schikora M. ↑,
- 64', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 67', Schwarz R. 🟨,
- 70', Smits A. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
- 76', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 82', Zwart J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 85', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
- 85', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 89', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Ouallil Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
46% | Draw
24.4% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.88) |
3.81 ↓
(3.9) |
3.14 ↓
(3.4) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vitesse will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 16).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Vitesse?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
12.09.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Vitesse
4:0
04.04.2025
Vitesse
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:2
13.09.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Vitesse
0:1
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
