Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 29
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/408) | 75% (275/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/408) | 75% (275/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 44% (39/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/120) | 53% (54/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Bouhamdi A. 🟨,
- 32', Koller J. 🟨,
- 37', Yoon D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
- 61', Mica Pinto ↓, Rossi N. ↑,
- 61', Carrillo S. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
- 61', Sunderland L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, Kuhn W. (A),
- 65', Sidibe S. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, van Vianen D. ⚽, Venema N. (A),
- 73', Koller J. ↓, Khaderi B. ↑,
- 74', van Vianen D. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
- 74', Bassey E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 76', Monamay M. 🟨,
- 82', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV 29% | Draw 25.2% | Dordrecht 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Jong PSV - Dordrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↑ (2.92) |
3.72 ↓ (3.74) |
2.05 ↓ (2.13) |
7% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Dordrecht?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2.
- Jong PSV has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dordrecht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dordrecht could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Fernandez N.
(Illness)
Merien F.
(Yellow Cards)
Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Hilton J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Dordrecht?
Jong PSV has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong PSV?
Dordrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Dordrecht were as follows:
23.08.2025
Dordrecht
-
Jong PSV
1:2
24.02.2025
Jong PSV
-
Dordrecht
1:2
04.10.2024
Dordrecht
-
Jong PSV
2:0
26.02.2024
Jong PSV
-
Dordrecht
0:1
10.11.2023
Dordrecht
-
Jong PSV
1:4
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 66:37 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 48:56 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie