Jozef Kovalik vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Barcelona Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
213
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
57%61%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (35/58)75% (47/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (27/43)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)40% (23/58)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (22/40)37% (16/43)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)22% (2/9)
Winners
3142
Unforced Errors
3144
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Service Points Won
61% (62/101)63% (65/103)
Return Points Won
37% (38/103)39% (39/101)
Total Points Won
49% (100/204)51% (104/204)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Jozef Kovalik
39.7%
Arthur Rinderknech
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.46)

    1.55
    (1.47)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovalik is ranked ATP: 147. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Recent matches Kovalik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Rinderknech is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rinderknech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Rinderknech will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Djere L. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R.Fearnley J. (LL)0 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Opelka R. (PR)2 : 0
    6Arnaldi M.Korda S.1 : 2
    7Martinez P.Nakashima B.2 : 1
    8Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (9)Munar J.1 : 2
    10Khachanov K.Norrie C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Wawrinka S. (WC)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    12De Jong J. (Q)Rublev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Rune H. (6)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Baez S.Dzumhur D. (LL)2 : 0
    15Medjedovic H. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    16Galan D. E. (Q)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Djere L.2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Korda S.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Munar J.Khachanov K.0 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Rune H. (6)Baez S.2 : 1
    8Medjedovic H.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 0
    3Khachanov K.Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Rune H. (6)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Khachanov K.Rune H. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rune H. (6)0 : 2