Jozef Kovalik vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
213
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
57%61%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (35/58)75% (47/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (27/43)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/63)40% (23/58)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (22/40)37% (16/43)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)22% (2/9)
Winners
3142
Unforced Errors
3144
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Service Points Won
61% (62/101)63% (65/103)
Return Points Won
37% (38/103)39% (39/101)
Total Points Won
49% (100/204)51% (104/204)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Jozef Kovalik
39.7%
Arthur Rinderknech
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.46)

    1.55
    (1.47)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovalik is ranked ATP: 147. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Recent matches Kovalik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Rinderknech is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rinderknech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Rinderknech will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Jozef Kovalik
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2