Juan Alejandro Hernandez vs Karl Poling – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
60%74%
1st serve points won
65% (28/43)52% (27/52)
2nd serve points won
41% (12/29)44% (8/18)
Break Points Saved
0/42/8
1st return points won
48% (25/52)35% (15/43)
2nd return points won
56% (10/18)59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
6/84/4
Winners
812
Unforced errors
3951
Net points won
0% (0/1)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
56% (40/72)50% (35/70)
Return Points Won
50% (35/70)44% (32/72)
Total Points Won
53% (75/142)47% (67/142)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
03
Service games won
64% (7/11)45% (5/11)
Return games won
55% (6/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Juan Alejandro Hernandez
56.9%
Karl Poling
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Juan Alejandro Hernandez aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Karl Poling aligns with the current prediction.
  • Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Karl Poling Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.67)

    2.18
    (2.07)
    6.9%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hernandez is ranked ATP: 492. Poling is ranked ATP: 567.
    • Hernandez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Poling has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Poling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    06.04.2026 Robin Catry - Karl Poling 1:2
    05.04.2026 Karl Poling - Mateus Alves Alves M. Retired
    30.03.2026 Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling 2:1