Yuta Shimizu vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou 2 Challenger Men Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Result
0:2
08/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
08
Double Faults
17
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (22/40)75% (30/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (10/22)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
35% (14/40)45% (18/40)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (15/27)55% (12/22)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
52% (32/62)63% (42/67)
Return Points Won
37% (25/67)48% (30/62)
Total Points Won
44% (57/129)56% (72/129)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Yuta Shimizu
47.1%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Shimizu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.15)

    1.75
    (1.62)
    7.2%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimizu is ranked ATP: 223. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 88.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu 0:2
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Te R. (WC)2 : 0
    2Samrej K. (Q)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    3Castelnuovo L. (Q)Jasika O.2 : 0
    4Sharipov M.Daniel T. (9)2 : 1
    5Basavareddy N. (3)Ramanathan R. (Q)2 : 0
    6Zhu E. (LL)Zeppieri G.0 : 2
    7Kikuchi Y. (Q)Hsu Y. H.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    9Harris B. (8)Yevseyev D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Gea A.Binda A. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Simakin I.2 : 0
    12McCabe J.Basilashvili N. (4)2 : 0
    13Evans D. (7)Chen C. (WC)2 : 0
    14Crawford O.Xiao L. (WC)2 : 0
    15Bar Biryukov P. (Alt)Zhang T. (Q)2 : 0
    16Shimizu Y.Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Eubanks C.2 : 1
    2Castelnuovo L.Sharipov M.1 : 2
    3Basavareddy N. (3)Zeppieri G. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Hsu Y. H.Tabilo A. (6)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (8)Gea A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 0
    7Evans D. (7)Crawford O.2 : 1
    8Bar Biryukov P. (RET.)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1O'Connell C. (1)Sharipov M.2 : 0
    2Basavareddy N. (3)Tabilo A. (6)1 : 2
    3Harris B. (8)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Evans D. (RET.) (7)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1O'Connell C. (RET.) (1)Tabilo A. (6)0 : 0
    2Harris B. (8)Cerundolo J. M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tabilo A. (6)Cerundolo J. M. (2)0 : 2