Ayacucho vs Juan Pablo II College – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College
Result
2:1
25/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.280.62
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
308
Shots on target
113
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
80% (300/373)73% (265/364)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
3.280.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.09
Total shots
308
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
184
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
298
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
815
Passes
80% (300/373)73% (265/364)
Long passes
55% (41/75)38% (32/84)
Passes in final third
72% (95/132)55% (54/99)
Crosses
31% (9/29)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.51
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
158
Tackles
72% (13/18)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4834
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.092.61
Goals prevented
-0.910.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Alfani R. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Ramirez C. ,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Caballero F. (Pen),
  • 45+9', Loyola N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucumi J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 58', Villar E. , Tizon C. ,
  • 58', Rasmussen M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 64', Vilchez J. , Perez Azambuya E. M. ,
  • 64', Agurto F. , Loyola N. ,
  • 72', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Bilbao J. ,
  • 77', Arakaki H. , Salcedo R. ,
  • 83', Vega J. , Flores C. ,
  • 83', Toledo J. , Rojas A. ,
  • 83', Caballero F. , Yovera A. ,
  • 87', Tizon C. 🟨,
  • 88', Valencia J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Barrios K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
50.9%
Draw
28.1%
Juan Pablo II College
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 24.3% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 24.7% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.65)
    3.21
    (3.8)
    4.46
    (4.65)
    6.3%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College?
  • Users Predictions: Ayacucho will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayacucho will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ayacucho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ayacucho is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Ayacucho: Peral P. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho 0:0
    27.09.2024 Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College 1:2
    31.08.2024 Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho 2:3
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    18.09.2025 Ayacucho - Cusco 0:1
    12.09.2025 Cajamarca - Ayacucho 0:1
    17.08.2025 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 2:1
    Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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