Result
2:1
25/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 73% (265/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 73% (265/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 38% (32/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 55% (54/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Alfani R. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Ramirez C. ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Caballero F. (Pen),
- 45+9', Loyola N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 58', Villar E. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
- 58', Rasmussen M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 64', Vilchez J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
- 64', Agurto F. ↓, Loyola N. ↑,
- 72', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 1, Bilbao J. ⚽,
- 77', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 83', Vega J. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
- 83', Toledo J. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
- 83', Caballero F. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 87', Tizon C. 🟨,
- 88', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Barrios K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
50.9% | Draw
28.1% | Juan Pablo II College
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.65) |
3.31 ↓
(3.8) |
4.49 ↓
(4.65) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Ayacucho (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ayacucho will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayacucho will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ayacucho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ayacucho is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ayacucho: Peral P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Juan Pablo II College?
Ayacucho has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Ayacucho?
Juan Pablo II College has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
03.05.2025
Juan Pablo II College
-
Ayacucho
0:0
27.09.2024
Ayacucho
-
Juan Pablo II College
1:2
31.08.2024
Juan Pablo II College
-
Ayacucho
2:3
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
