Result
1:0
07/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (363/451) | 87% (370/427) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/98) | 77% (99/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 23% (6/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yan Phillipe ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 47', Mosquera M. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 0, Macias O. ⚽,
- 59', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
- 59', Orquin R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 70', Villalpando D. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 72', Leo Bonatini ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
- 73', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Madson ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 81', Mosquera M. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 89', Abitia D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Macias O. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 90+5', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
41% | Draw
28.2% | Juárez
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético San Luis - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(1.84) |
3.34 ↓
(3.84) |
3.08 ↓
(3.82) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Atlético San Luis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Juárez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético San Luis will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Castilho
(Injury)
Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Juárez?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Atlético San Luis?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Juárez were as follows:
27.10.2024
Juárez
-
Atlético San Luis
2:4
08.04.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Juárez
2:3
25.10.2023
Juárez
-
Atlético San Luis
3:2
13.04.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Juárez
2:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
