Atlético San Luis vs Juárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Atlético San Luis - Juárez
Result
1:0
07/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.33
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
714
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
19
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
128
Offsides
11
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
2626
Touches in the Opposition Box
1321
Passes
80% (363/451)87% (370/427)
Passes in the final third
61% (60/98)77% (99/128)
Crosses
33% (3/9)23% (6/26)
Tackles
76% (16/21)59% (10/17)
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yan Phillipe , Galdames B. ,
  • 47', Mosquera M. 🟨,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Macias O. ,
  • 59', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. , Campillo Del Campo D. ,
  • 59', Orquin R. , Lopez E. ,
  • 70', Villalpando D. , Mendez A. ,
  • 72', Leo Bonatini , Abitia D. ,
  • 73', Salles-Lamonge S. , Garcia M. ,
  • 81', Madson , Hurtado A. ,
  • 81', Mosquera M. , Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ,
  • 89', Abitia D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Macias O. , Cruz A. ,
  • 90+5', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético San Luis
41%
Draw
28.2%
Juárez
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 25.5% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.
  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético San Luis - Juárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.84)
    3.34
    (3.84)
    3.08
    (3.82)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Juárez?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2.
    • Atlético San Luis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Juárez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético San Luis will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Juárez: Castro M. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Castilho (Injury) Romero B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Juárez were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Juárez - Atlético San Luis 2:4
    08.04.2024 Atlético San Luis - Juárez 2:3
    25.10.2023 Juárez - Atlético San Luis 3:2
    13.04.2023 Atlético San Luis - Juárez 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético San Luis
    Latest results of Juárez
    01.03.2025 Juárez - Pachuca 2:2
    25.02.2025 Tigres UANL - Juárez 0:1
    22.02.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:4
    14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2
    08.02.2025 Juárez - Monterrey 2:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Santos Laguna31025:503
    9Necaxa21014:403
    10Atl. San Luis21011:103
    11Club Leon21011:103
    12Puebla31024:5-13
    13UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    14Monterrey21011:3-23
    15Cruz Azul20203:302
    16Juarez30212:3-12
    17Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )