Juárez vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
1:1
15/03/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.20
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
61
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
411
Offsides
14
Fouls
114
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
3333
Touches in the Opposition Box
155
Passes
72% (200/276)80% (422/528)
Passes in the final third
54% (31/57)60% (62/103)
Crosses
19% (3/16)9% (1/11)
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
2910
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zaldivar A. ,
  • 12', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
  • 22', Brizuela I. 🟨,
  • 40', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. , Campillo Del Campo D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Brizuela I. , Gomez M. ,
  • 60', Villalpando D. , Guilherme Castilho ,
  • 76', Zaldivar A. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 76', Murillo J. , Manriquez J. ,
  • 79', Gonzalez F. , Pulido A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ,
  • 86', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
  • 89', Chicharito , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 90', Camberos H. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 90+1', Manriquez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Juárez
30.1%
Draw
29.5%
Chivas Guadalajara
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 25.5% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 25.4% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.59)
    3.17
    (3.7)
    2.33
    (1.96)
    6.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Soccer Plus
  • What is the prediction for Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: Juárez will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Juárez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Guadalajara will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Cowell C. (Red Card) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Castilho (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Juárez won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14:31 (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez 5:0
    10.02.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez 2:1
    18.08.2023 Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    28.01.2023 Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2
    Latest results of Juárez
    01.03.2025 Juárez - Pachuca 2:2
    25.02.2025 Tigres UANL - Juárez 0:1
    22.02.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:4
    14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Santos Laguna31025:503
    9Necaxa21014:403
    10Atl. San Luis21011:103
    11Club Leon21011:103
    12Puebla31024:5-13
    13UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    14Monterrey21011:3-23
    15Cruz Azul20203:302
    16Juarez30212:3-12
    17Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )