Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 19:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (482/544) | 75% (198/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (482/544) | 75% (198/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (107/149) | 41% (13/32) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Puma 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
- 45+1', Pizarro R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ricardinho ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
- 47', Mozo A. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ⚽, Pizarro R. (A),
- 61', Mozo A. ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 61', Alvarado R. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 61', Gutierrez E. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 64', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 64', Madson ↓, Silva L. ↑,
- 66', Aguirre D. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 72', Ledezma R. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 78', Garcia D. ↓, Ochoa D. ↑,
- 79', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 81', Camberos H. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 2, Sandoval S. ⚽,
- 86', Pizarro R. ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
57.1% | Draw
24% | Juárez
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.63) |
3.88 ↑
(3.8) |
5.03 ↓
(5.13) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Chicharito
(Calf Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Juárez?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez were as follows:
15.03.2025
Juárez
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
31.08.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Juárez
5:0
10.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Juárez
2:1
18.08.2023
Juárez
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
28.01.2023
Juárez
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
