Chivas Guadalajara vs Juárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 19:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaNBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.24
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
89% (482/544)75% (198/264)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.80
Total shots
116
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
257
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
138
Passes
89% (482/544)75% (198/264)
Long passes
58% (38/66)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
72% (107/149)41% (13/32)
Crosses
24% (8/33)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.28
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
813
Tackles
69% (9/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
944
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.801.50
Goals prevented
-0.200.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Puma 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Pizarro R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ricardinho , Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ,
  • 47', Mozo A. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. , Pizarro R. (A),
  • 61', Mozo A. , Pulido A. ,
  • 61', Alvarado R. , Alvarez E. ,
  • 61', Gutierrez E. , Sandoval S. ,
  • 64', Estupinan O. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 64', Madson , Silva L. ,
  • 66', Aguirre D. , Cowell C. ,
  • 72', Ledezma R. , Camberos H. ,
  • 78', Garcia D. , Ochoa D. ,
  • 79', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
  • 81', Camberos H. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Sandoval S. ,
  • 86', Pizarro R. , Fulgencio R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
57.1%
Draw
24%
Juárez
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.6% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 24.1% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.63)
    3.88
    (3.8)
    5.03
    (5.13)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez?
  • Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Chicharito (Calf Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury) Tapias M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Govea O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Murillo J. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    31.08.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez 5:0
    10.02.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez 2:1
    18.08.2023 Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    28.01.2023 Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Juárez
    11.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:2
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    25.07.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1181231:141725
    2Monterrey1181223:17625
    3Club America1173123:111224
    4Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Juarez1153315:12318
    7Pachuca1152415:13217
    8Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Club Leon1133510:18-812
    12Atl. San Luis1131716:18-210
    13Santos Laguna1131713:18-510
    14Atlas1124518:26-810
    15Necaxa1123611:20-99
    16Mazatlan FC1115513:20-78
    17Queretaro1022611:18-78
    18Puebla111289:26-175

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