Result
1:1
15/03/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (200/276) | 80% (422/528) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 60% (62/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 9% (1/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 63% (10/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Zaldivar A. ⚽,
- 12', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
- 22', Brizuela I. 🟨,
- 40', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Brizuela I. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 60', Villalpando D. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 76', Zaldivar A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 76', Murillo J. ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
- 79', Gonzalez F. ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 86', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 89', Chicharito ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 90', Camberos H. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Manriquez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juárez
30.1% | Draw
29.5% | Chivas Guadalajara
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(3.59) |
3.17 ↓
(3.7) |
2.33 ↑
(1.96) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Soccer Plus
What is the prediction for Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Juárez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Guadalajara will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Cowell C.
(Red Card)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Castilho
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Juárez won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14:31 (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Juárez?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
31.08.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Juárez
5:0
10.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Juárez
2:1
18.08.2023
Juárez
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
28.01.2023
Juárez
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
