Result
4:2
21/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (470/524) | 89% (301/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (470/524) | 89% (301/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 65% (15/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (76/98) | 82% (72/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Arteaga G. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Canales S. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Guilherme Castilho ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 46', Garcia D. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Berterame G. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
- 62', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
- 62', Valoyes D. ↓, Madson ↑,
- 68', Berterame G. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
- 69', Guzman V. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
- 69', Ocampos L. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
- 74', Villalpando D. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 76', Ramos S. ↓, Salcedo C. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 0, Moxica J. ⚽,
- 80', Canales S. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 1, Cardenas L. (Own goal),
- 83', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Madson ⚽, Ochoa D. (A),
Chances of winning
Monterrey
59% | Draw
22.7% | Juárez
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Monterrey - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.48) |
4.16 ↓
(4.39) |
5.23 ↓
(5.95) |
5.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monterrey will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Aguirre E.
(Thigh Injury)
Ambriz F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Juárez: Mayorga A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Chavez R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Mosquera M.
(Injury)
Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Juárez?
Monterrey has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Monterrey?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Juárez were as follows:
08.02.2025
Juárez
-
Monterrey
2:1
18.09.2024
Monterrey
-
Juárez
3:2
23.02.2024
Juárez
-
Monterrey
0:3
07.10.2023
Monterrey
-
Juárez
3:1
04.03.2023
Monterrey
-
Juárez
3:0
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
