Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (418/504) | 76% (236/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (418/504) | 76% (236/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (96/150) | 73% (41/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. ⚽, Puma (A),
- 13', Puma 🟨,
- 15', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 59', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 60', Fulgencio R. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 64', Jacob T. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 69', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 70', Estupinan O. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 71', Rossano F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Badaloni T. ⚽, De Buen D. (A),
- 80', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 83', Perez P. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 84', Rosero K. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 87', Pizarro R. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
42.9% | Draw
27.9% | Juárez
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Necaxa - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.07) |
3.45 ↓
(3.56) |
3.24 ↓
(3.31) |
3.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
- Necaxa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Juárez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Necaxa has had a series of away games.
- Necaxa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D.
(Red Card)
Lara E.
(Elbow Injury)
Monreal R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Calderon C.
(Injury)
Oliveros A.
(Shin Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Juárez?
Necaxa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Necaxa?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Juárez were as follows:
15.04.2025
Juárez
-
Necaxa
2:2
24.08.2024
Necaxa
-
Juárez
3:0
03.02.2024
Juárez
-
Necaxa
2:2
16.09.2023
Necaxa
-
Juárez
1:1
12.03.2023
Juárez
-
Necaxa
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
