Result
2:2
15/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 0.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (279/358) | 73% (207/282) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 0.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.07 | 2.18 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
78% (279/358) | 73% (207/282) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (37/69) | 32% (16/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (61/100) | 55% (50/91) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 0% (0/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.79 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (15/22) | 93% (14/15) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.18 | 2.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.10 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 16', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 31', Palma A. 🟨,
- 37', Madson 🟨,
- 41', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Guilherme Castilho ⚽, Madson (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽, Monreal R. (A),
- 64', Jurado S. 🟨,
- 67', Perez P. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 67', Palma A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 68', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 75', Manriquez J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Villalpando D. ⚽,
- 84', Paradela J. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 84', Andrade A. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
- 86', Monreal R. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
- 89', Madson ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 89', Estupinan O. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez 37.4% | Draw 27.2% | Necaxa 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (3.36) |
3.46 ↑ (3.29) |
2.66 ↑ (2.17) |
5.9% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Sports 1
What is the prediction for Juárez - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(55 of 59 users predict this - 93.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.8% – 99.64%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Necaxa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D.
(Head Injury)
Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:19 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Necaxa?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Juárez?
Necaxa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Necaxa were as follows:
24.08.2024
Necaxa
-
Juárez
3:0
03.02.2024
Juárez
-
Necaxa
2:2
16.09.2023
Necaxa
-
Juárez
1:1
12.03.2023
Juárez
-
Necaxa
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )