Necaxa vs Juárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Necaxa - Juárez
Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.17
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (418/504)76% (236/311)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.771.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.871.09
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
168
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
83% (418/504)76% (236/311)
Long passes
40% (19/48)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
64% (96/150)73% (41/56)
Crosses
32% (8/25)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.170.69
Throw-ins
2632
Fouls
1212
Tackles
60% (9/15)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.090.87
Goals prevented
0.09-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Estupinan O. , Puma (A),
  • 13', Puma 🟨,
  • 15', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Rojas J. ,
  • 59', Rojas J. 🟨,
  • 60', Fulgencio R. , Ricardinho ,
  • 64', Jacob T. , Cortez R. ,
  • 69', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 70', Estupinan O. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 71', Rossano F. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Badaloni T. , De Buen D. (A),
  • 80', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 83', Perez P. , Calderon C. ,
  • 84', Rosero K. , Martinez E. ,
  • 87', Pizarro R. , Villalpando D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
42.9%
Draw
27.9%
Juárez
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 26.3% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Necaxa - Juárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.07)
    3.45
    (3.56)
    3.24
    (3.31)
    3.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Necaxa - Juárez?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
    • Necaxa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Juárez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Necaxa has had a series of away games.
    • Necaxa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D. (Red Card) Lara E. (Elbow Injury) Monreal R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Necaxa: Calderon C. (Injury) Oliveros A. (Shin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Juárez were as follows:
    15.04.2025 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2
    24.08.2024 Necaxa - Juárez 3:0
    03.02.2024 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2
    16.09.2023 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    12.03.2023 Juárez - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    23.08.2025 Monterrey - Necaxa 3:0
    15.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 0:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    22.08.2025 Juárez - Santos Laguna 2:1
    11.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    4Monterrey1181223:17625
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Pachuca1262416:13320
    7Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )