Result
2:2
15/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (279/358) | 73% (207/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (279/358) | 73% (207/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 55% (50/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.79 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
- 16', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 31', Palma A. 🟨,
- 37', Madson 🟨,
- 41', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Guilherme Castilho ⚽, Madson (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽, Monreal R. (A),
- 64', Jurado S. 🟨,
- 67', Perez P. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 67', Palma A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 68', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Villalpando D. ↑,
- 75', Manriquez J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Villalpando D. ⚽,
- 84', Paradela J. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 84', Andrade A. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
- 86', Monreal R. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
- 89', Madson ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 89', Estupinan O. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Juárez
37.4% | Draw
27.2% | Necaxa
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juárez - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(3.36) |
3.46 ↑
(3.29) |
2.66 ↑
(2.17) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Sports 1
What is the prediction for Juárez - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
Juárez will win
(55 of 59 users predict this - 93.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.8% – 99.64%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Necaxa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D.
(Head Injury)
Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:19 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Necaxa?
Juárez has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Juárez?
Necaxa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Necaxa were as follows:
24.08.2024
Necaxa
-
Juárez
3:0
03.02.2024
Juárez
-
Necaxa
2:2
16.09.2023
Necaxa
-
Juárez
1:1
12.03.2023
Juárez
-
Necaxa
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
