Juárez vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Juárez - Necaxa
Result
2:2
15/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
78% (279/358)73% (207/282)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.18
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
711
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1716
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
129
Passes
78% (279/358)73% (207/282)
Long passes
54% (37/69)32% (16/50)
Passes in final third
61% (61/100)55% (50/91)
Crosses
37% (7/19)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.79
Fouls
912
Tackles
68% (15/22)93% (14/15)
Duels won
4947
Clearances Total
2417
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.182.07
Goals prevented
-0.100.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
  • 16', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 31', Palma A. 🟨,
  • 37', Madson 🟨,
  • 41', Rosero K. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Guilherme Castilho , Madson (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Paradela J. , Monreal R. (A),
  • 64', Jurado S. 🟨,
  • 67', Perez P. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 67', Palma A. , Sandoval R. ,
  • 68', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. , Villalpando D. ,
  • 75', Manriquez J. , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Villalpando D. ,
  • 84', Paradela J. , Rojas J. ,
  • 84', Andrade A. , Jesus Alcantar ,
  • 86', Monreal R. , Cambindo D. ,
  • 89', Madson , Hurtado A. ,
  • 89', Estupinan O. , Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Juárez
37.4%
Draw
27.2%
Necaxa
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.6% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 28.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juárez's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juárez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juárez - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (3.36)
    3.46
    (3.29)
    2.66
    (2.17)
    5.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Sports 1
  • What is the prediction for Juárez - Necaxa?
  • Users Predictions: Juárez will win (55 of 59 users predict this - 93.22%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.8%99.64%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juárez will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 0.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Necaxa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Juárez: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D. (Head Injury) Oliveros A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juárez: Castro M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:19 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Juárez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juárez - Necaxa were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Necaxa - Juárez 3:0
    03.02.2024 Juárez - Necaxa 2:2
    16.09.2023 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    12.03.2023 Juárez - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Juárez
    12.04.2025 UNAM - Juárez 0:0
    05.04.2025 Atlas - Juárez 1:1
    29.03.2025 Juárez - Puebla 2:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    11.04.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 3:5
    04.04.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:2
    28.03.2025 Necaxa - Querétaro 2:0
    14.03.2025 Necaxa - Club León 2:1
    08.03.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 5:2
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca33007:259
    2Toluca320110:736
    3Tigres UANL22005:326
    4Monterrey32014:406
    5Cruz Azul31207:435
    6Club America31205:325
    7Necaxa31115:504
    8Mazatlan FC31112:204
    9Atlas31117:8-14
    10Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    11Santos Laguna31025:503
    12Guadalajara Chivas21014:403
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Puebla31024:5-13
    15UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    16Club Leon31022:5-33
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )