Nagano Parceiro vs Júbilo Iwata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
12/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
11
Corner kicks
61
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
64
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ,
  • 33', Nojima K. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Fujikawa K. , Hasegawa Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Kawai T. , Aida Y. ,
  • 65', Yoshimura R. , Koike N. ,
  • 66', Gustavo Silva , Watanabe R. ,
  • 67', Nojima K. , Ando K. ,
  • 76', Uehara R. , Uemura H. ,
  • 79', Kondo T. , Kutsuna K. ,
  • 79', Watanabe Z. , Ishii K. ,
  • 79', Hasegawa H. , Nakata S. ,
  • 87', Yoshizawa S. , Shimizu S. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Watanabe R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Shimizu S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Matheus Peixoto (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Hasegawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Uemura H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Tanaka K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Kawasaki I. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Nagano Parceiro
19.5%
Draw
24.6%
Júbilo Iwata
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 24.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1% 23.2% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.75
    (4.65)
    3.76
    (3.82)
    1.65
    (1.67)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Nagano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Iwata is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Júbilo Iwata - Nagano Parceiro 0:0
    Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai10640021:626
    2Shonan Bellmare10711120:824
    3Blaublitz10701213:822
    4Montedio Yamagata10410512:1114
    5Tochigi SC10401518:1913
    6Sagamihara10311518:2012
    7Vanraure10303411:1312
    8Yokohama FC10310617:1711
    9Tochigi City10211612:239
    10Kusatsu10112610:277


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Iwaki10621118:1023
    2Kofu10610314:720
    3Omiya Ardija10601324:1519
    4Yamaga10511323:1318
    5Gifu10511317:1318
    6Fujieda MYFC10422216:1518
    7Iwata1013159:1310
    8Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo10220610:1510
    9Fukushima Utd10202615:288
    10Nagano1010369:266


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tokushima10800227:524
    2Toyama10530225:1521
    3Kochi United10611219:1321
    4Albirex Niigata10331314:1216
    5Kanazawa10232311:1614
    6Ehime10312412:1413
    7Kamatamare1040067:1812
    8Osaka1021347:1111
    9Imabari1021256:1110
    10Nara Club10202613:268


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki10900123:727
    2Kagoshima Utd10621115:723
    3Sagan Tosu10411411:1015
    4Renofa Yamaguchi10411412:1215
    5Oita Trinita10410513:1214
    6Kumamoto10401511:1413
    7Reilac Shiga940147:1013
    8Gainare Tottori922148:1211
    9Ryukyu10122510:169
    10Giravanz Kitakyushu1020178:187

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )