Juticalpa vs Real Sociedad Tocoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Juticalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
11
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
10
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
11
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Jones A. , Fuentes A. ,
  • 31', Fuentes A. , Asprilla L. ,
  • 45+1', Melendez L. , Guity E. ,
  • 45+1', Monico D. , Carrasco M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ramirez W. , Martinez G. ,
  • 50', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 50', Dantaz Paredes P. M. 🟨,
  • 57', Reyes D. 🟨,
  • 63', Guillen C. , Tinoco G. ,
  • 64', Reyes D. , Martinez A. N. ,
  • 65', Martinez A. N. 🟨,
  • 74', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
  • 75', Mendoza D. , Canales S. ,
  • 75', Bernardez K. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 83', Reyes F. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Crisanto L. ,
  • 88', Crisanto L. 🟨,
  • 89', Canales S. , Matute K. ,

Chances of winning


Juticalpa
34.3%
Draw
28.9%
Real Sociedad Tocoa
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 28.4% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 27.1% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juticalpa's form might have worsened.
  • Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad Tocoa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juticalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad Tocoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juticalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.3)
    3.15
    (3.24)
    2.47
    (2.93)
    9.8%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Juticalpa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Sociedad Tocoa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa 0:0
    05.10.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa 1:1
    04.08.2024 Juticalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa 1:1
    Latest results of Juticalpa
    26.04.2025 Génesis PN - Juticalpa 1:0
    20.04.2025 Juticalpa - Olancho 0:1
    13.04.2025 Motagua - Juticalpa 5:1
    03.04.2025 Real España - Juticalpa 3:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad Tocoa
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1265126:111523
    3Olancho1256126:17921
    4Motagua1153321:19218
    5UPNFM1144318:19-116
    6Platense1143419:13615
    7Real Espana1143416:13315
    8Juticalpa1245315:21-613
    9Genesis1223716:22-69
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1212912:27-155

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