Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ramirez L. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez A. ↓, Sevilla L. ↑,
- 46', Espinal M. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
- 51', Oliva E. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Matute K. ⚽,
- 53', 1 - 1, Portillo A. ⚽,
- 55', Kelly K. 🟨,
- 60', Garcia J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 60', Gaboriell N. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
- 69', Chavez B. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 72', Altamirano C. ↓, Ilan ↑,
- 75', Lacayo J. 🟨,
- 77', Fajardo A. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 77', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
- 83', Kelly K. ↓, Suazo O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
53.3% | Draw
24.1% | Juticalpa
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.64) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
4.01 ↓
(4.34) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2.
- Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juticalpa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Victoria La Ceiba is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Juticalpa?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Juticalpa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa were as follows:
28.02.2026
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:0
26.11.2025
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
3:4
13.09.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
2:3
08.04.2025
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:2
09.02.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
0:1
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
