Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Hernandez A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
- 31', Ledesma D. 🟨,
- 45', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lahera Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 63', Medrano Y. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 63', Ledesma D. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
- 69', Kelly K. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 79', Ramirez L. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 83', Suazo O. ↓, Barrios O. ↑,
- 84', Villafranca J. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 88', Canales M. ↓, Cerrato M. ↑,
- 90+1', Perello M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Fajardo A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Juticalpa
39.7% | Draw
27.6% | Victoria La Ceiba
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3
(2.3) |
3.31 ↑
(3.13) |
2.79 ↓
(2.89) |
9.5%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 2.
- Juticalpa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Victoria La Ceiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Juticalpa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Juticalpa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Juticalpa?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
26.11.2025
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
3:4
13.09.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
2:3
08.04.2025
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:2
09.02.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
0:1
27.10.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
4:0
Latest results of Juticalpa
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
