Result
4:1
16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Morosini D. 🟨,
- 18', Mujica I. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Azambuja N. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Cabrera E. ⚽,
- 41', Mimbacas F. 🟨,
- 44', Ferreira M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cecchini E. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
- 46', Mimbacas F. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
- 46', Mujica I. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Peralta R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Gomez G. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
- 61', Rossi I. 🟨,
- 63', Ferreira M. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
- 65', Roldan L. 🟨,
- 67', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
- 70', Cabrera E. ↓, Balatti F. ↑,
- 71', Caceres M. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽,
- 78', Peralta M. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 78', Azambuja N. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 79', Mayada C. 🟨,
- 81', Cruz A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 86', Caceres M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Fernandez S. ⚽,
- 90+4', Sosa L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
47.8% | Draw
30.1% | Juventud de Las Piedras
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.25) |
3.07 ↓
(3.12) |
4.22 ↑
(3.04) |
7.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Danubio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Danubio will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Danubio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Juventud de Las Piedras?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventud de Las Piedras won against Danubio?
Juventud de Las Piedras has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
10.08.2025
Danubio
-
Juventud de Las Piedras
2:1
21.06.2025
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Danubio
3:1
09.02.2025
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Danubio
2:2
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
