Result
2:1
12/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bolivia | ESPN |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
Ecuador | ESPN |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/286) | 62% (171/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/286) | 62% (171/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 31% (19/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 47% (40/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 0% (0/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Palacios H. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
- 16', Pernicone P. ↓, Caceres M. ↑,
- 25', 1 - 1, Barrandeguy F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Moreno D. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 46', Londono D. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 58', Sanchez R. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 58', Chagas R. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
- 60', Palacios H. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
- 77', Larrosa E. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 78', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 82', Lago P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
- 82', Alaniz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Fabra F. (A),
- 90', Peralta R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 61.3% | Draw 25.3% | Juventud de Las Piedras 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1%)
Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.54) |
3.74 ↓ (3.81) |
7.06 ↑ (6.25) |
6.3% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Juventud (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juventud (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Juventud de Las Piedras?
Independiente Medellín has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventud de Las Piedras won against Independiente Medellín?
Juventud de Las Piedras has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
05.03.2026
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
Draw
QualificationQuarter-finals| 1 | Juventud | U. Catolica | 5 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Guarani | |
| 3 | Liverpool M. | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ind. Medellin | |
| 5 | The Strongest | Dep. Tachira | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Deportes Tolima | |
| 7 | O'Higgins | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bahia | |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Sporting Cristal | |
| 11 | Carabobo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Huachipato | |
| 13 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Argentinos Jrs | |
| 15 | Nacional Potosi | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Botafogo RJ | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventud | Guarani | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | Ind. Medellin | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | Deportes Tolima | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | Bahia | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | Sporting Cristal | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 6 | Carabobo | Huachipato | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | Argentinos Jrs | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | Botafogo RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Juventud | Ind. Medellin | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | Carabobo | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | Botafogo RJ | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |