Independiente Medellín vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileESPN Premium
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.821.04
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
54
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
53
Passes
66% (190/286)62% (171/277)
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.821.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.82
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
59
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
20
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1223
Passes
66% (190/286)62% (171/277)
Long passes
38% (25/66)31% (19/62)
Passes in final third
55% (49/89)47% (40/85)
Crosses
50% (7/14)0% (0/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.44
Throw ins
1832
Fouls
2312
Tackles
69% (11/16)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
3926
Interceptions
154
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.821.88
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Palacios H. , Fydriszewski F. (A),
  • 16', Pernicone P. , Caceres M. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Barrandeguy F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno D. , Montano J. ,
  • 46', Londono D. , Chaverra L. ,
  • 58', Sanchez R. , Cruz A. ,
  • 58', Chagas R. , Peralta R. ,
  • 60', Palacios H. , Mena Perea E. ,
  • 77', Larrosa E. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 78', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 82', Lago P. , Gomez G. ,
  • 82', Alaniz A. , Mimbacas F. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Fydriszewski F. , Fabra F. (A),
  • 90', Peralta R. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
61.3%
Draw
25.3%
Juventud de Las Piedras
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 24.5% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 23.7% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.54)
    3.74
    (3.81)
    7.06
    (6.25)
    6.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Juventud (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juventud (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Juventud de Las Piedras - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    Draw
    Qualification

    Quarter-finals
    1JuventudU. Catolica5 : 3, 0 : 1
    2ByeGuarani
    3Liverpool M.Bye
    4ByeInd. Medellin
    5The StrongestDep. Tachira0 : 2, 2 : 1
    6ByeDeportes Tolima
    7O'HigginsBye
    8ByeBahia
    92 de MayoAlianza Lima1 : 1, 1 : 0
    10ByeSporting Cristal
    11CaraboboBye
    12ByeHuachipato
    13Barcelona SCBye
    14ByeArgentinos Jrs
    15Nacional PotosiBye
    16ByeBotafogo RJ

    Semi-finals
    1JuventudGuarani2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Liverpool M.Ind. Medellin0 : 0, 1 : 2
    3Dep. TachiraDeportes Tolima1 : 1, 0 : 1
    4O'HigginsBahia2 : 2, 1 : 0
    52 de MayoSporting Cristal0 : 1, 2 : 2
    6CaraboboHuachipato2 : 1, 1 : 0
    7Barcelona SCArgentinos Jrs2 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Nacional PotosiBotafogo RJ0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1JuventudInd. Medellin1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Deportes TolimaO'Higgins2 : 0, 0 : 1
    3Sporting CristalCarabobo2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4Barcelona SCBotafogo RJ1 : 0, 1 : 1