Peñarol de Montevideo vs Juventud de Las Piedras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Total shots
122
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Mas E. 🟥,
  • 36', Otormin L. , Gomez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ,
  • 51', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 68', Guerrero S. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 77', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', Arezo M. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 77', Gularte E. , Silva G. ,
  • 77', Barrandeguy F. , Aja J. ,
  • 77', Perez F. , Vigo F. ,
  • 88', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rodriguez T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
66.9%
Draw
21.2%
Juventud de Las Piedras
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 21.8% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 20.5% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.41)
    4.4
    (4.26)
    7.7
    (7.55)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Juventud will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
    • Peñarol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Juventud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:6. (average 1.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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