Result
1:1
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/488) | 84% (306/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/488) | 84% (306/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 72% (58/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Kayke (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 46', Carrillo A. ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 46', Nene ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 46', Bernardo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
- 57', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 61', Talles Magno ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 62', Angel Romero ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 67', Jadson ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 78', Hugo ↓, Andre ↑,
- 82', Igor Formiga ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Edison Negueba ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
Chances of winning
Corinthians
58% | Draw
24.7% | Juventude
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Corinthians - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.5) |
3.82 ↓
(4.26) |
5.42 ↓
(6.46) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Juventude?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Corinthians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Knee Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Juventude?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Corinthians?
Juventude has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Juventude were as follows:
11.08.2025
Juventude
-
Corinthians
2:1
11.09.2024
Corinthians
-
Juventude
3:1
29.08.2024
Juventude
-
Corinthians
2:1
04.08.2024
Corinthians
-
Juventude
1:1
17.04.2024
Juventude
-
Corinthians
2:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
