Result
5:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/323) | 77% (271/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.19 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/323) | 77% (271/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 56% (33/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 5.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
- 36', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
- 39', Enio 🟨,
- 42', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 47', Tinga 🟨,
- 56', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 56', Mandaca ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Marinho (A),
- 70', Enio ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 72', Breno Lopes ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 72', Marinho ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 77', Ewerthon ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 79', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 79', Lucas Sasha ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
- 86', 4 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Andrade K. (A),
- 88', Pochettino T. ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 89', Giraldo D. 🟨,
- 89', 5 - 0, Calebe ⚽, Emmanuel Martinez (A),
- 90+1', Calebe 🟨,
- 90+1', Jean Carlos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
58.5% | Draw
24.5% | Juventude
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fortaleza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Fortaleza - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
3.88 ↓
(3.91) |
5.49 ↑
(5.45) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
- Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juventude's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Avila G.
(Inactive)
Diogo Barbosa
(Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Tinga
(Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Matheus Babi
(Inactive)
Peixoto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pedro Augusto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Juventude?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Fortaleza?
Juventude has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Juventude were as follows:
02.11.2024
Juventude
-
Fortaleza
0:3
30.06.2024
Fortaleza
-
Juventude
2:1
18.09.2022
Juventude
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
