Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/352) | 81% (314/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/352) | 81% (314/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 68% (62/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Rafael Bilu ⚽,
- 21', Gilberto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
- 46', Igor Formiga ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 46', Herrera J. ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 46', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Guzman Y. ↑,
- 54', Gilberto ↓, Gabriel Taliari ↑,
- 57', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 61', Mandaca 🟨,
- 65', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Mancuso E. ⚽, Britez E. (A),
- 76', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Nene ↑,
- 77', Lucas Sasha ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 78', Lucero J. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 80', Abner ↓, Peixoto ↑,
- 83', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
- 85', Breno Lopes ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Bareiro A. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
- 90+7', Mandaca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juventude
40.8% | Draw
29.8% | Fortaleza
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventude's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventude that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juventude - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.73) |
3.29 ↑
(3.16) |
3.39 ↑
(2.71) |
2.1%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Fortaleza?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Juventude: Abner
(Muscle Injury)
Alan Ruschel
(Yellow Cards)
Angel W.
(Thigh Injury)
Marcelo Hermes
(Yellow Cards)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Tinga
(Groin Injury)
Weverson
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
Peixoto
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho
(Inactive)
Benevenuto
(Hamstring Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Fortaleza?
Juventude has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Juventude?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Fortaleza were as follows:
10.05.2025
Fortaleza
-
Juventude
5:0
02.11.2024
Juventude
-
Fortaleza
0:3
30.06.2024
Fortaleza
-
Juventude
2:1
18.09.2022
Juventude
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
