JYP vs Ässät – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
17/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.142.88
Shots on Goal
2919
Shots off target
154
Shooting PCT
17.24% (5/29)21.05% (4/19)
Blocked shots
109
Goalkeeper Saves
1524
Saves PCT
78.95% (15/19)82.76% (24/29)
Penalties
42
PIM
84
Power-play Goals
03
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)75% (3/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
25% (1/4)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
3919
Faceoffs %
67.2432.76
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 2)
  • 03:14, 1 - 0, Tyrvainen A. (G), Bourque T. (A), Winberg T. (A2)
  • 06:42, Tiivola P. (2 min),
  • 09:59, 2 - 0, Vidgren A. (G), Liikonen V. (A), Nieminen V. (A2)
  • 13:38, 3 - 0, True A. (G), Perttu M. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
  • 16:31, True A. (2 min),
  • 17:06, 3 - 1, Kostilainen S. (G), Noiva N. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
  • 17:51, 3 - 2, Tammela J. (G), Juhola P. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
  • 18:44, Puustinen J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:21, Bourque T. (2 min),
  • 01:42, 3 - 3, Tiivola P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Viljanen V. (A2)
  • 05:26, 4 - 3, Huovila S. (G), Puustinen J. (A), Jormakka P. (A2)
  • 09:16, Noiva N. (2 min),
  • 14:11, 5 - 3, Puustinen J. (G), Jokinen R. (A), Makinen O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:10, True A. (2 min),
  • 07:48, 5 - 4, Kostilainen S. (G), Puutio K. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)

Chances of winning


JYP
55.7%
Draw
21.5%
Ässät
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 20% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 19% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • JYP - Ässät Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.59)
    4.32
    (4.66)
    4.01
    (4.39)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for JYP - Ässät?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Ässät is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.
    • JYP has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ässät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, JYP is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:55. (average 2.5:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 3.1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Ässät were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Ässät - JYP 2:3
    22.01.2025 JYP - Ässät 5:2
    05.12.2024 Ässät - JYP 3:1
    09.03.2024 Ässät - JYP 4:1
    19.12.2023 JYP - Ässät 3:2
    Latest results of JYP
    14.03.2026 KalPa - JYP 6:3
    13.03.2026 JYP - Ilves 3:6
    11.03.2026 JYP - Tappara 2:3
    07.03.2026 Vaasan Sport - JYP 0:3
    06.03.2026 JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:4
    Latest results of Ässät
    14.03.2026 TPS - Ässät 2:5
    13.03.2026 Ässät - TPS 6:2
    10.03.2026 Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo 0:4
    07.03.2026 Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät 1:3
    05.03.2026 Ässät - KalPa 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Tappara (1)Bye
    2Lukko (5)Hameenlinna (12)1 : 3
    3Ilves (4)Bye
    4KalPa (7)IFK Helsinki (10)3 : 2
    5KooKoo (2)Bye
    6JYP (6)Pelicans (11)0 : 3
    7SaiPa (3)Bye
    8Assat (8)Kiekko-Espoo (9)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tappara (1)Hameenlinna (12)2 : 1
    2Ilves (4)KalPa (7)2 : 0
    3KooKoo (2)Pelicans (11)2 : 1
    4SaiPa (3)Assat (8)1 : 1