Result
2:5
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.90 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (2/22) | 16.13% (5/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.66% (26/29) | 90.91% (20/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.24 | 45.76 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 00:54, 1 - 0, Pakkila E. (G), Tuhkala A. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
- 02:03, Riihinen P. (2 min),
- 07:51, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Landen A. (A), Virtanen J. (A2)
- 07:51, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 07:51, Nilsson O. (2 min),
- 13:01, Lauridsen O. (5 min),
- 14:22, 2 - 1, Nurmi P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Tiivola P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 4)
- 04:11, Landen A. (2 min),
- 05:57, 2 - 2, Tiivola P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 17:24, 2 - 3, Kostilainen S. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
- 18:32, 2 - 4, Knihti F. (G),
- 18:58, 2 - 5, Tammela J. (G),
Chances of winning
TPS
49.1% | Draw
23.5% | Ässät
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
TPS - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.07) |
3.91 ↓
(4.03) |
3.4 ↑
(2.94) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Ässät is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Recent form of TPS has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ässät has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ässät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- TPS might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 51:54. (average 2.6:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ässät?
TPS has won 12 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against TPS?
Ässät has won 13 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Ässät were as follows:
13.03.2026
Ässät
-
TPS
6:2
15.11.2025
Ässät
-
TPS
2:1
14.11.2025
TPS
-
Ässät
3:4
04.09.2025
Ässät
-
TPS
4:1
15.08.2025
TPS
-
Ässät
3:1
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 4 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Ilves (4) | 2 : 2 |
| 2 | KooKoo (2) | SaiPa (3) | 2 : 1 |
