Result
3:4 penalties
14/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Ilves
51.4% | Draw
21.9% | JYP
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.83) |
4.17 ↓
(4.36) |
3.49 ↑
(3.39) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.
- Ilves is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- JYP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.
- Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.
- Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 65:44. (average 3.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against JYP?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Ilves?
JYP has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - JYP were as follows:
24.09.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
1:5
10.09.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
4:3
22.02.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
3:1
28.01.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
6:3
11.12.2024
JYP
-
Ilves
6:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
