Result
3:6
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 4.25 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.34% (3/29) | 16.22% (6/37) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.11% (31/36) | 89.66% (26/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 55.93 | 44.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 07:12, 0 - 1, Nyberg J. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Utunen T. (A2)
- 08:36, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 15:12, Makinen O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 02:06, 1 - 1, Lassila J. (G), Huovila S. (A), Puustinen J. (A2)
- 06:07, Utunen T. (2 min),
- 08:25, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 12:53, 1 - 2, Engberg T. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)
- 13:25, 2 - 2, Ojantakanen V. (G), True A. (A),
- 14:33, 2 - 3, Ratinen S. (G), Looke J. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
- 16:30, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 16:30, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 02:36, Henman L. (2 min),
- 04:22, 3 - 3, Puustinen J. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 14:53, 3 - 4, Quenneville P. (G),
- 18:15, 3 - 5, Jasek L. (G),
- 19:07, 3 - 6, Torok M. (G), Utunen T. (A), Henman L. (A2)
Chances of winning
JYP
28.5% | Draw
23.2% | Ilves
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JYP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
JYP - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.75) |
4.01 ↑
(3.8) |
1.9 ↓
(2.05) |
7.7%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for JYP - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): JYP will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 46:67. (average 2.3:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 2.6:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Ilves?
JYP has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against JYP?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Ilves were as follows:
14.01.2026
Ilves
-
JYP
3:4
24.09.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
1:5
10.09.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
4:3
22.02.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
3:1
28.01.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
6:3
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
