Result
3:4 penalties
14/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Ilves
51.4% | Draw
21.9% | JYP
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Ilves - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.83) |
4.17 ↓
(4.36) |
3.49 ↑
(3.39) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Ilves - JYP?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.
- Ilves is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- JYP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.
- Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.
- Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 65:44. (average 3.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 3.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against JYP?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Ilves?
JYP has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - JYP were as follows:
24.09.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
1:5
10.09.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
4:3
22.02.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
3:1
28.01.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
6:3
11.12.2024
JYP
-
Ilves
6:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
