Result
1:5
24/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 2.24 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4% (1/25) | 21.74% (5/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.82% (18/22) | 96% (24/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (1/7) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 85.71% (6/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.38 | 47.62 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 01:37, 0 - 1, Lassila J. (G), Huovila S. (A), Tukiainen L. (A2)
- 02:46, 0 - 2, Makinen O. (G), Vidgren A. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 05:10, Henman L. (2 min),
- 06:34, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 12:30, Liikonen V. (5 min),
- 12:30, Latvala O. (5 min),
- 12:30, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 13:04, Lassila J. (2 min),
- 14:42, 0 - 3, Makinen O. (G), Tukiainen L. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:06, Ojantakanen V. (2 min),
- 08:06, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 08:42, 1 - 3, Johansson S. (G), Mantykivi M. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 17:57, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 14:46, Huovila S. (2 min),
- 17:38, 1 - 4, Ojantakanen V. (G),
- 19:54, 1 - 5, Tukiainen L. (G),
Chances of winning
Ilves
56.2% | Draw
21.7% | JYP
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+3%)
Ilves - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.77) |
4.35 ↑
(4.16) |
4.22 ↑
(3.77) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - JYP?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 60%). JYP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- In recent matches, Ilves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- JYP is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
- Recently, JYP has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 70:43. (average 3.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:13. (average 3.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against JYP?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Ilves?
JYP has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - JYP were as follows:
10.09.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
4:3
22.02.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
3:1
28.01.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
6:3
11.12.2024
JYP
-
Ilves
6:2
16.11.2024
Ilves
-
JYP
5:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
