Result
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
JYP
29.9% | Draw
23.5% | Ilves
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
JYP - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.75) |
3.94 ↑
(3.8) |
1.98 ↓
(2.05) |
6.8%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 46:67. (average 2.3:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 2.6:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Ilves?
JYP has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against JYP?
Ilves has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Ilves were as follows:
14.01.2026
Ilves
-
JYP
3:4
24.09.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
1:5
10.09.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
4:3
22.02.2025
JYP
-
Ilves
3:1
28.01.2025
Ilves
-
JYP
6:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
