Result
4:1
18/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 2.06 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.18% (4/22) | 5% (1/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95% (19/20) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 95 | 91 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 8.33% (1/12) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (11/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.97 | 46.03 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 00:17, Sylvegard E. (5 min),
- 00:17, Tyrvainen A. (5 min),
- 06:12, 1 - 0, Haapala H. (G), Jokipakka J. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
- 06:36, Torgersson D. (2 min),
- 07:24, 2 - 0, Tanus K. (G), Suvanto O. (A), Haapala H. (A2)
- 17:44, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 15:10, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 15:25, 3 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Haapala H. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 18:54, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 19:52, 3 - 1, Puustinen J. (G), Ojantakanen V. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:35, Brickley D. (2 min),
- 09:11, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 12:38, Pavel O. (2 min),
- 16:24, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 18:01, 4 - 1, Jokipakka J. (G), Pavel O. (A),
Chances of winning
Tappara
59% | Draw
20.7% | JYP
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)The chances for JYP have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Tappara - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.61) |
4.5 ↑
(4.3) |
4.58 ↓
(4.64) |
7.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tappara - JYP?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tappara will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Tappara is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 80:49. (average 4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 3.9:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against JYP?
Tappara has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Tappara?
JYP has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - JYP were as follows:
03.12.2025
Tappara
-
JYP
6:3
26.09.2025
JYP
-
Tappara
4:3
08.01.2025
JYP
-
Tappara
6:4
27.12.2024
Tappara
-
JYP
3:2
05.10.2024
Tappara
-
JYP
5:0
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
