Result
2:3 OT
11/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 3.87 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.41% (2/27) | 9.09% (3/33) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (30/33) | 92.59% (25/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:49, 1 - 0, Jormakka P. (G), Jokinen R. (A),
- 17:47, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 18:25, 2 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:02, Puustinen J. (2 min),
- 02:42, 2 - 1, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 05:58, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 07:03, Rasanen A. (2 min),
- 09:13, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
- 12:38, Liikonen V. (2 min),
- 13:38, 2 - 2, Jokipakka J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 15:25, Vuontisvaara O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:45, Winberg T. (2 min),
- 11:45, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
- 14:56, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:53, 2 - 3, Blichfeld J. (G), Mattila Je. (A),
Chances of winning
JYP
26.7% | Draw
22.3% | Tappara
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tappara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
JYP - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(3.18) |
4.17 ↑
(3.58) |
1.83 ↓
(2.1) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for JYP - Tappara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +3.5, OT - JYP (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +4 - JYP (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +4, OT - JYP (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, OT - JYP (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. JYP (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tappara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:82. (average 2.4:4.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 2.2:4.1).
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against Tappara?
JYP has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against JYP?
Tappara has won 10 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Tappara were as follows:
18.02.2026
Tappara
-
JYP
4:1
03.12.2025
Tappara
-
JYP
6:3
26.09.2025
JYP
-
Tappara
4:3
08.01.2025
JYP
-
Tappara
6:4
27.12.2024
Tappara
-
JYP
3:2
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
