JYP vs Tappara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga JYP - Tappara
Result
4:3
26/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.003.82
Shots on Goal
2131
Shots off target
1411
Shooting PCT
19.05% (4/21)9.68% (3/31)
Blocked Shots
912
Goalkeeper Saves
2817
Saves PCT
90.32% (28/31)80.95% (17/21)
Penalties
85
PIM
3210
Power-play Goals
12
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)25% (2/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (6/8)80% (4/5)
Faceoffs Won
3434
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:33, 1 - 0, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 03:49, 2 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Perttu M. (A), Liikonen V. (A2)
  • 07:24, Vatanen S. (2 min),
  • 10:16, Huovila S. (2 min),
  • 11:48, 2 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Jokipakka J. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
  • 18:27, Rasanen A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:41, 3 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Huovila S. (A), Jokinen R. (A2)
  • 12:28, Puustinen J. (2 min),
  • 12:32, 3 - 2, Blichfeld J. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
  • 13:46, Winberg T. (2 min),
  • 19:05, Tuulola J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:52, 4 - 2, Tukiainen L. (G), Huovila S. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
  • 01:05, Peltola E. (2 min),
  • 12:27, Suvanto O. (2 min),
  • 12:27, True A. (2 min),
  • 18:50, 4 - 3, Mattila Ju. (G), Rautiainen B. (A),

Chances of winning


JYP
42.6%
Draw
23.5%
Tappara
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 24% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 23.2% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.
  • Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tappara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tappara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • JYP - Tappara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.77)
    4.41
    (3.91)
    3.17
    (2.23)
    -2.8%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for JYP - Tappara?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 46:82. (average 2.3:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:43. (average 2.1:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JYP - Tappara were as follows:
    08.01.2025 JYP - Tappara 6:4
    27.12.2024 Tappara - JYP 3:2
    05.10.2024 Tappara - JYP 5:0
    21.09.2024 JYP - Tappara 2:4
    16.02.2024 JYP - Tappara 1:4
    Latest results of JYP
    24.09.2025 Ilves - JYP 1:5
    20.09.2025 JYP - Pelicans 5:1
    19.09.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - JYP 7:3
    12.09.2025 JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit 6:2
    10.09.2025 JYP - Ilves 4:3
    Latest results of Tappara
    23.09.2025 Tappara - TPS 1:2
    19.09.2025 Tappara - KalPa 8:1
    17.09.2025 SaiPa - Tappara 2:3
    13.09.2025 KalPa - Tappara 3:5
    10.09.2025 Lukko - Tappara 1:4
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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