Result
2:1 penalties
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Yamada Y. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Aoki Y. ⚽, Saga R. (A),
- 33', Ikoma J. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Sugii H. 🟨,
- 64', Yoshihara F. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Maeda R. ⚽, Narasaka T. (A),
- 71', Saga R. 🟨,
- 74', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- 74', Hirahara R. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
- 74', Watanabe S. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
- 81', Yoshio K. ↓, Fujimura K. ↑,
- 81', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
- 87', Kawamura K. ↓, Take S. ↑,
- 90+4', Fukumori K. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
- Penalties (8 - 7)
- 1, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Tsubogo R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Fujimura K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Maeda R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Egawa G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kumasawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Saga R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yoshihara F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kawabe S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Inaba S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Okano R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Aoki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Yoshida K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Nakayama K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Hasegawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kagoshima United
57.8% | Draw
24.5% | Giravanz Kitakyushu
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.61) |
3.78 ↓
(4.17) |
5.23 ↑
(4.63) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kagoshima United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 3.
- Kagoshima United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Giravanz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kagoshima United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kagoshima United is the team to beat.
- We predict that Kagoshima United will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Giravanz Kitakyushu?
Kagoshima United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Giravanz Kitakyushu won against Kagoshima United?
Giravanz Kitakyushu has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu were as follows:
11.10.2025
Giravanz Kitakyushu
-
Kagoshima United
1:1
23.03.2025
Kagoshima United
-
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
26.08.2023
Giravanz Kitakyushu
-
Kagoshima United
1:1
04.05.2023
Kagoshima United
-
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:0
19.09.2022
Kagoshima United
-
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Latest results of Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kofu | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Yamaga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Iwata | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15:28 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:26 | 6 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Ehime | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Kamatamare | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Osaka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Imabari | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Kumamoto | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
