Result
2:1 penalties
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Egawa G. ⚽, Yamada Y. (A),
- 44', Tanaka Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tanaka Y. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
- 46', Ando T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 46', Fujimura K. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 46', Chibu K. ↓, Aoki Y. ↑,
- 58', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Matsumoto N. ⚽, Imazu Y. (A),
- 68', Yuba K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 68', Toyoda A. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 71', Nakayama K. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
- 71', Saga R. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
- 75', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
- 76', Fukuda M. 🟨,
- 77', Suzuki D. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
- 84', Kawamura K. ↓, Take S. ↑,
- Penalties (11 - 10)
- 1, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Egawa G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Shiohama R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Arita R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yoshino K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yonezawa R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Matsumoto N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Nishizawa K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yamada Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Imazu Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Fukuda M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Sakai N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Yoshio K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Nagasawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Aoki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Hyon R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Umeki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 10, Ogawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Kawakami K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11, Matsubara S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Sugii H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Egawa G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 13, Shiohama R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kagoshima United
37.9% | Draw
31.2% | Sagan Tosu
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Kagoshima United - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.3) |
2.94 ↓
(3) |
2.96 ↓
(3.15) |
9.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tosu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kagoshima United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kagoshima United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Sagan Tosu?
Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Kagoshima United?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kagoshima United - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
28.02.2026
Sagan Tosu
-
Kagoshima United
0:1
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:22 | 17 |
| 6 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Kusatsu | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Gifu | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Yamaga | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19:32 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11:30 | 9 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Ehime | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Imabari | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Kamatamare | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:28 | 12 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 36 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
